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Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Prediction 4/7/25 NBA Picks
Pick details
Miami Heat (35-43) vs Philadelphia 76ers (23-55)
April 7, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat -14 — Over/Under: 214
The Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat meet Monday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Pick.
Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview
The Philadelphia 76ers lost to the Timberwolves and Bucks, and they play the Wizards, Hawks, and Bulls next. The 76ers have lost 26 of their last 29 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers are averaging 109.6 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 115.8 points on 49 percent shooting. Tyrese Maxey is averaging 26.3 points and 6.1 assists, while Kelly Oubre Jr. is averaging 15.1 points and 6.1 rebounds. Guerschon Yabusele is the third double-digit scorer, and Jared Butler is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Philadelphia 76ers are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Philadelphia 76ers are allowing 37.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.4 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Grizzlies and Bucks, and they play the Bulls, Pelicans, and Wizards next. The Heat have lost two straight games and are currently the 10th seed in the East.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.9 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.9 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 19.9 points and 4.1 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The 76ers have lost each of their last 19 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Heat have won each of their last six games at Kaseya Center against 76ers teams that held a losing record.
- The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents following a loss.
Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win
- The Heat have lost each of their last four games as home favorites after losing as favorites.
- The road team has won five of the 76ers’ last six games.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games after losing as favorites.
- The road team has covered the spread in four of the Heat’s last five games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.9).
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for Q4 points per game this season (25.3).
- The 76ers rank 30th in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (34.6%).
- The 76ers rank 30th in the league for rebound percentage this season (46.5%).
Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Kevin Love, Isaiah Stevens, Andrew Wiggins, and Dru Smith. Haywood Highsmith, Alec Burks, and Tyler Herro are questionable.
The 76ers will be without Jared McCain, Eric Gordon, Joel Embiid, Paul George, Tyrese Maxey, Guerschon Yabusele, Kelly Oubre Jr., and Andre Drummond. Kyle Lowry and Justin Edwards are questionable.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Heat need to take advantage of games like this if they’re going to get out of the 10th seed, but they’re one of those teams that play down their competition. While the 76ers are awful and have most of their roster on the injury report, that doesn’t mean we just throw a billion points the other way. The Heat are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a double-digit favorite. The Heat also have a lot of injuries in their own right and you must check for updates before betting. There’s no way you can lay this many points if Herro and others are out. The underdog has covered six of the last 10 games between the 76ers and Heat. Give me the points.