Pacers vs Mavericks Prediction 11/9/2026 NBA Picks Today

Pacers vs Mavericks Prediction

It’s the same song and dance with the Pacers as last season. The talent is there, but the majority of it is on the injury report. The Pacers are one of the most injured teams in the NBA in back-to-back seasons, and it bleeds into the SU and ATS records. It’s hard to get behind the Pacers night to night due to the rotation that’s not playing.

Don’t look now, but the Mavs have won 5 of their last 7 games and have covered 7 of their last 10 games. The Mavericks also beat the Pacers a couple of weeks ago on the road 121-105. You can make a strong argument that the Mavericks should be an even bigger favorite tonight. I’ll gladly lay the bucket with the Mavericks at home.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Nuggets, beat the Grizzlies, and they play the Wizards next. The Pacers have lost 7 of their last 9 games. The Pacers are 3-2 SU on the road, 0-4 SU at home, and 5-5 ATS on the season.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 110.3 points per game on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.2 points per game on 45.2 percent shooting. Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 21.8 points and 4.5 rebounds per game. Pascal Siakam is averaging 21.4 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. Andrew Nembhard is averaging 17.8 points and 7 assists per game. Obi Toppin is averaging 13.9 points and 5.4 rebounds per game. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 32.6 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Jazz and Nets, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Mavs have won 5 of their last 7 games. The Mavs are 2-2 SU on the road, 4-2 SU at home, and 7-3 ATS on the season.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.9 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 109.1 points per game on 44.7 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 23.9 points and 6.4 assists per game. Kyrie Irving is averaging 21.4 points and 3.7 rebounds per game. P.J. Washington is averaging 15.8 points and 7.7 rebounds per game. Naji Marshall is averaging 12.5 points and 5.3 assists per game. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Pacers vs Mavericks Injury Report

Johnny Furphy is out for the Pacers with an ACL injury. Tyrese Haliburton is out with a hamstring injury. Ben Sheppard is out with a meniscus injury. T.J. McConnell is questionable with a hamstring injury.

Tarik Biberovic is out for the Mavs with a heel injury. Sergio De Larrea is out with a knee injury. Dereck Lively is out with a foot injury. Caleb Martin is available despite a thumb issue.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Pacers have lost 15 of their last 17 night games against Western Conference opponents.
• The home team has won five of the Mavericks’ last six games.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last eight night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The underdogs have won 12 of the last 15 games between the Pacers and Mavericks at American Airlines Center.
• The road team has covered the spread in eight of the last nine games between the Pacers and Mavericks.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight games as home favorites against the Pacers have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Pacers’ last four games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Kyrie Irving ranks T8th amongst qualified players for FT% (90.9%) this season.
• P.J. Washington ranks 14th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (7.5) this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

• Braden Smith ranks 10th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.6) this season.
• Andrew Nembhard ranks T13th amongst qualified players for assists per game (7.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.0%).
• The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.3).
• The Pacers rank T1st in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (25.6).
• The Pacers have used seven different starting fives this season- the most in the league.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas -2.5