Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 2/4/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Nuggets and Magic, and then play the Rockets next. The Thunder have won 44 of their last 55 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 120.9 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 107.9 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points and 6.2 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.8 points and 8.6 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.6 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Magi, lost to the Hornets, and they play the Mavs next. The Spurs have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 117.2 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 112.1 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.3 points and 11.2 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 20.2 points and 6 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.3 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.3 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won each of their last eight home games following a home win.
• The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight road games against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Frost Bank Center against Spurs teams that held a winning record.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in four of their last five home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won 27 of their last 28 games as favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Spurs have lost each of their last three games following a win.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games following a win.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in 11 of their last 13 games as road favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Spurs’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Thunder’s last six games at Frost Bank Center following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Julian Champagnie is one of only eight players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
• Dylan Harper is one of only 16 players in the league to have recorded 10+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Chet Holmgren is one of only two players to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
• Isaiah Hartenstein leads all Thunder players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs have missed the playoffs in six consecutive seasons – second-longest active streak in the NBA.
• The Spurs rank 3rd in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.7).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+12.7).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (43.2%).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report

Jeremy Sochan and Lindy Waters III are out for the Spurs. Stephon Castle is questionable.

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, and Ajay Mitchell.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

The Thunder are going to get the benefit of the doubt for obvious reasons, but they’re on the end of a back-to-back and banged up, as they entered that Magic game with endless names on the injury report. The Spurs are at home with the rest advantage, and they’ve won 4 of the last 6 games against OKC. The Spurs are one of the few teams in the league that doesn’t fear the Thunder. It’s also important to keep noting that these Thunder aren’t the same team from past years, as they’re 25-26 ATS on the season. OKC isn’t making us money like they have in the past. Give me the bucket in a game the Spurs could win outright. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: San Antonio Spurs +2.5