Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 5/26/25 NBA Picks

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Monday in the NBA playoffs Game 4 at the Target Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder look to take a 3-1 series lead with their fourth playoff road win. The Thunder have won five of their last seven games. The Thunder haven’t lost two straight games since April 4-6.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 115.8 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 105.7 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28.7 points and 6.6 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 19.6 points and 5.8 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 8.2 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves look to even up the series with another home win. The Timberwolves are 5-1 at home in these playoffs. The Timberwolves have lost three home games since February 24. 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108.9 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 103.4 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 26.5 points and 8.2 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.8 points and 5.2 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The home team has won each of the Thunder’s last six playoff games.
• The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight Western Conference Finals road games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 10 night games following a road loss.
• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five night games following a road loss.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Mike Conley ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.3) this season.
• Jaden McDaniels rank T8th in the league for total steals + blocks (184) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Isaiah Joe ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.3) this season.
• Jalen Williams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report 

The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

You guys know the drill by now. The Thunder are the best bet in sports with their 61-32-4 ATS record. It’s hard to find a moneymaker as consistent as the Thunder, so I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if looking at the small chalk. However, I’m backing the Timberwolves for the same reason I did in game 3. The Timberwolves are a good team that I just don’t think has played their best ball yet, and is a team I don’t think will go down quietly. The Timberwolves hung around with the Thunder for a half in the first two games, and they finally played 48 minutes in game 3.

The Timberwolves are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog. Everybody was so quick to put the Thunder in the finals after the first two games, but I’m here saying not so fast, my friend. Give me the Timberwolves and the bucket in a game they should win outright.