Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction 10/28/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets and New Orleans Pelicans meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Smoothie King Center. Here’s a Nuggets vs. Pelicans Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs. Pelicans Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Warriors, beat the Pelicans, and they play the Suns next. The Nuggets have won 14 of their last 16 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 113 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 121.7 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 22.3 points and 9.7 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 22.3 points and 6.3 rebounds. DeMar DeRozan is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 31.1 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Nuggets and Jazz, and they play the Kings next. The Pelicans have lost 13 of their last 14 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 124.7 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 128 points on 49.8 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 20.7 points and 3 rebounds, while Dejounte Murray is averaging 20.3 points and 5 rebounds. Saddiq Bey is the third double-digit scorer, and Trey Murphy III is dishing 2.7 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and 86.2 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

• The Pelicans have won three of their last four games as home underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Nuggets have lost four of their last six games as road favorites.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Pelicans have covered the spread in each of their last four games after coming off overtime.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 games as favorites following a home loss.
• The Pelicans have lost each of their last eight games following a road loss.
• The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in four of their last five games at Smoothie King Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Nuggets’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Pelicans’ last six games have gone OVER the total points line.

New Orleans Pelicans Player Facts

• DeAndre Jordan leads all Pelicans players for rebounds per 36 minutes (16.0) this season.
• Trey Murphy III ranks T44th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (2.3) this season.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Christian Braun ranks T14th amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.0) this season.
• Aaron Gordon ranks T36th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pelicans rank 30th in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (36.0).
• The Pelicans rank 1st for points in the paint per game (60.7) this season.
• The Nuggets rank 1st for second-chance points per game (23.0) this season.
• The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for pace this season (96.8).

Nuggets vs Pelicans Injury Report

The Pelicans will be without Yves Missi due to a knee issue. Jordan Poole is probable despite an illness.

The Nuggets will be without Spencer Jones due to a hamstring injury. Julian Strawther is out with a knee sprain. Alpha Diallo is out due to personal reasons. Cameron Johnson is doubtful with an ankle sprain.

Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction

The Nuggets are the better team and should win comfortably, but they’re 0-3 ATS on the season and have failed to cover 7 of their last 8 games overall. The Pelicans just played the Nuggets a few days ago and took them to overtime. The Pels have covered 2 of their first 3 games. It feels like the Pelicans are inching closer to a win, and the Nuggets are dealing with a handful of injuries. We just saw the Nuggets lose to the Warriors and couldn’t get a stop whatsoever. I’ll grab the points with the Pelicans.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New Orleans +5.5