Mar 5, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Jonas Valanciunas (17) reacts in the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Lakers at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images
Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/6/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP New York Knicks Denver Nuggets
Team Records 40-23 39-24
Spread -1.5 -102 +1.5 -118
Moneyline -112 -108
Total Over 229.5 (-112) Under 229.5 (-108)
Where Ball Arena, Denver, CO
When Friday, March 6, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV MSG

The NY Knicks and Denver Nuggets meet Friday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a New York Knicks vs. Denver Nuggets prediction. This article will include a New York Knicks vs. Denver Nuggets pick.

NY Knicks Betting Preview

The NY Knicks beat the Raptors, lost to the Thunder, and play the Lakers next. The Knicks have won 15 of their last 20 games.

The NY Knicks are averaging 117.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Jalen Brunson is averaging 26.7 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 19.8 points and 2.8 assists. OG Anunoby is the third double-digit scorer, and Mikal Bridges is dishing out 4 assists. The NY Knicks are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The NY Knicks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.9 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Jazz and Lakers and play the Thunder next. The Nuggets have split their last 6 games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.3 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 116 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.7 points and 12.6 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.3 points and 4.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Peyton Watson is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Knicks have lost each of their last eight Friday night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nuggets have won each of their six previous games against the Knicks following a home win.
  • The Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Friday games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The home team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between the Knicks and Nuggets.

Why the New York Knicks will win

  • The Knicks have won eight of their last nine games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games following a win.
  • The Knicks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Nuggets’ last five games at Ball Arena has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of the Knicks’ last six games as road favorites following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.1).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.3%).
  • The Knicks rank 2nd in the league for opponent steals per game this season (7.2).
  • The Knicks rank 3rd in the league for opponent assists per game this season (24.6).

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The Nuggets will be without Peyton Watson and Spencer Jones. Cameron Johnson and Aaron Gordon are questionable.

Miles McBride is out for the Knicks. Josh Hart is questionable.

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

I understand the Knicks are good, and the Nuggets are on the end of a back-to-back. However, the Nuggets are getting healthier and there’s a chance Gordon returns. Also, you almost never see the Nuggets as home dogs. It’s happened more this season, obviously due to the injuries, but the Nuggets are usually a safe bet at home. I’m going to grab the free bucket in a game the Nuggets could win outright.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets +1.5

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