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New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 2/3/25 NBA Picks

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Denver Nuggets (30-19) vs New Orleans Pelicans (12-37)

February 3, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -11.5 — Over/Under: 239.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview 

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Celtics and Mavericks, and they play the Kings, Thunder, and Mavs next. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 109.8 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 118.1 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 23.6 points and 8.2 rebounds, while Brandon Ingram is averaging 22.2 points and 5.6 rebounds. Trey Murphy III is the third double-digit scorer and CJ McCollum is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets beat the 76ers and Hornets, and they play the Magic, Suns, and Trail Blazers next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.5 points on 50.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.5 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.6 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.4 points and 4 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won 21 of their last 22 games at Ball Arena against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Pelicans have lost each of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The home team has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games between the Pelicans and Nuggets.
  • The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games when playing with a rest advantage.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

  • The Nuggets have lost three of their last five games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
  • The Pelicans have won 16 of their last 32 games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Pelicans have covered the spread in three of their last four games as underdogs following a home loss.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.5%).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.9).
  • The Pelicans rank 28th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (46.3).
  • The Pelicans rank 28th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (48.3%).

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report 

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, Peyton Watson, Vlatko Cancar, and Russell Westbrook.

The Pelicans will be without Brandon Ingram, Dejounte Murray, and Herbert Jones.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The New Orleans Pelicans seem to be cursed as they can’t stay healthy, and they just suffered another blow with Dejounte Murray out for the season. The Pelicans are 4-19 SU on the road, and Denver is one of the toughest places to play. A Nuggets’ blowout wouldn’t be shocking. With that said, the Nuggets have played with their food a lot this season, and it’s led to a 23-25-1 ATS record. The Nuggets have failed to cover their last five games overall, and they recently lost as a big favorite to the Bulls. The Nuggets will also be without Westbrook, who has been an energy spark for them. The Pelicans also have a win over the Nuggets this season, while also taking them to overtime in the second game. Give me the Pels and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +11.5

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