New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 11/21/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks meet Friday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Nuggets and Thunder, and they play the Hawks next. The Pelicans have lost 20 of their last 22 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 108.2 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 121.6 points on 50.3 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 22.8 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Trey Murphy III is averaging 19.8 points and 6.8 rebounds. Jordan Poole is the third double-digit scorer and Jeremiah Fears is dishing 3.1 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.6 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Timberwolves and Knicks, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Mavs have lost 17 of their last 23 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 111.4 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.8 points and 2.2 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 15.2 points and 6.6 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 31.1 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Pelicans have lost 17 of their last 18 games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mavericks have won each of their seven previous home games against the Pelicans following a home loss.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last five home games against the Pelicans following a home loss.
• The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last seven night games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Pelicans have won 10 of their last 13 road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games at American Airlines Center against teams that held a losing record.
• The Pelicans have covered the spread in four of their last five games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine home games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Pelicans’ last five road games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• D’Angelo Russell is one of only five players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
• P.J. Washington is one of only nine qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

New Orleans Pelicans Player Facts

• Jeremiah Fears is one of only four players in the league to have recorded 7+ steals in a game this season.
• Herb Jones has played the most minutes in a single game without making a field goal of any player in the league this season – (28:22) against Spurs on October 24.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (25.3).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for H1 points per game this season (53.1).
• The Pelicans rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.1).
• The Pelicans rank 30th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (6.3).

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis and Dante Exum.

The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray, Karlo Matkovic, and Jordan Poole.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

This line is interesting. I’m not running to the window to bet on the Pelicans, but backing the Mavs in the favorite role is a no-go. The Mavericks are horrible. Yes, you can say the same for the Pels, but I’m not seeing Zion on the injury report. You can argue the Pelicans are the better team with Zion on the court. The Mavs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. The Mavs are 2-3 SU this season as a favorite. Give me the Pelicans and the free bucket.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +3.5