Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 11/21/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Phoenix Suns meet Friday in NBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Mavs and Wizards, and they play the Kings next. The Timberwolves have won 8 of their last 10 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 120.7 points on 50 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.3 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 25.5 points and 6.2 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Donte DiVincenzo is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns beat the Trail Blazers, lost to the Hawks, and they play the Spurs next. The Suns have won 8 of their last 10 games.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 118.9 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 28.4 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 22 points and 3.3 rebounds. Grayson Allen is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Green is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won 12 of their last 13 games at Mortgage Matchup Center when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The favorites have won each of the Timberwolves’ last 10 games.
• The Suns have lost each of their last seven games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against the Suns.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of the Suns’ last 11 games at Mortgage Matchup Center following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Timberwolves’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Royce O’Neale ranks 12th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.2) this season.
• Dillon Brooks ranks 13th amongst qualified players for FT% (91.4%) this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Naz Reid ranks 4th amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.1) this season.
• Anthony Edwards ranks 12th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (29.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Suns rank 4th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (15.5).
• The Suns rank 27th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (22.3).
• The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.4%).
• The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for H1 points per game this season (61.9).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report

Jalen Green is out for the Suns due to a hamstring injury. Grayson Allen is out with a quad issue. Rasheer Fleming is out with an ankle injury.

Terrence Shannon Jr. is out for the Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels and Joe Ingles are questionable.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

We’ve been riding with the Suns during this winning stretch, where they’re 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. However, this is a step-up in competition and the Suns have lost 8 straight games against the Timberwolves. The Suns haven’t beat the Timberwolves since April 2024. I’d love to know the status of McDaniels before locking in a bet, as an elite defender can limit a banged up Suns squad as it is. Still, the line is reasonable. I’ll side with history and back the Timberwolves.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5