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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction 2/21/25 NBA Picks
Pick details
Houston Rockets (34-21) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (31-25)
February 21, 2025 at 09:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Houston Rockets -3.5 — Over/Under: 216
The Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets meet Friday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting PreviewÂ
The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Thunder, lost to the Bucks, and they play the Thunder, Lakers, and Jazz next. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 111.5 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 108.1 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.5 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 18.9 points and 4.5 assists. Naz Reid is the third double-digit scorer and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.
Houston Rockets Betting PreviewÂ
The Houston Rockets beat the Suns, lost to the Warriors, and they play the Jazz, Bucks, and Spurs next. The Houston Rockets are averaging 112.7 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 108.7 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 21.2 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 18.8 points and 10.5 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer and Amen Thompson is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48 rebounds per game.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last eight games as favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Timberwolves have lost 16 of their last 18 games at Toyota Center against Rockets teams that held a winning record.
- The home team has covered the spread in five of the Timberwolves’ last six games.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games against Southwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
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- The Rockets have lost each of their last six night games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last four games as road underdogs after winning as underdogs.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Rockets’ last eight games at Toyota Center.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of the Rockets’ last 12 night games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Timberwolves’ last six games as underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Injury ReportÂ
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Cody Zeller.
The Timberwolves won’t have Donte DiVincenzo and Julius Randle. Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, and Rudy Gobert are questionable.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction
Before the break, we cashed a nice underdog ticket with the Timberwolves over the Thunder. It feels like the market is down on the Timberwolves, and that’s created value in the underdog spot. The problem here is Gobert, Conley, and Edwards are questionable, and it’s hard to back them at the time of this writing with the possibility of them being out. The Houston Rockets are also a team that could benefit greatly from the break, as they’ve cooled off greatly and lost seven of their last nine games. The Rockets are a young team that’s been better than expected, and the break allows them to kind of regroup. The line isn’t crazy and if the Timberwolves are down key players, it’s only going to balloon. Give me the Rockets and the reasonable chalk.
