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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/22/25 NBA Picks
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Dallas Mavericks (23-20) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (22-21)
January 22, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks +1.5 — Over/Under: 217
The Minnesota Timberwolves and the Dallas Mavericks do battle at the American Airlines Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.
Minnesota TimberwolvesÂ
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been doing it tough as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall and they will be kicking themselves after coming up just short against the Grizzlies in a 108-106 road defeat on Monday. Anthony Edwards led the team with 32 points, Naz Reid added 29 points on 11 of 20 shooting off the bench while Jaden McDaniels chipped in with 11 points, 12 rebounds, and two blocks. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 38 percent from the field and 14 of 43 from the 3-point line. The Timberwolves played great defense early on to take a 16-point lead, but they never put the Grizzlies away and it cost them in the fourth quarter as the Grizzlies closed the final 4:14 on a 13-6 run to slip away in the end.Â
Dallas MavericksÂ
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in a real slump as they’ve lost nine of their last 12 games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back after falling to the lowly Hornets in a 110-105 road defeat on Monday. Kyrie Irving led the team with 33 points on 11 of 24 shooting, Daniel Gafford added 31 points with 15 rebounds and seven blocks while PJ Washington chipped in with 13 points but no other player scored more than eight points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 43 percent from the field and six of 32 from the 3-point line. The Mavs kept pace with the Hornets despite their poor shooting, until the fourth quarter where they scored just 22 points to allow the Hornets off the hook. Spencer Dinwiddie had a rough game of just seven points on three of 11 shooting while Naji Marshall shot just three of 10 for his eight points off the bench. The Mavs will face the Thunder following this one.
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Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Timberwolves and Mavericks.
- The Timberwolves have lost each of their last two games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Timberwolves and Mavericks.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last five games against the Mavericks following a road loss.
- The Mavericks have lost three of their last four games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Timberwolves.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as home underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight night games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last four games as favorites against the Mavericks have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The Timberwolves are still missing Donte DiVincenzo, while the Mavericks are keeping an eye on Naji Marshall, Quentin Grimes, Dereck Lively, and Klay Thompson. The Timberwolves haven’t been at their best lately, but they are relatively healthy and look like great value against a struggling Mavericks squad dealing with a major injury cloud hanging over most of their players. The Mavericks could still pull off the minor upset if Irving has a monster game, but I think the Timberwolves are the safer pick in this spot.
