Dec 29, 2025; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bulls guard Ayo Dosunmu (11) defends Minnesota Timberwolves center Naz Reid (11) during the first half at United Center. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images
David Banks-Imagn Images

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 12/31/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Minnesota Timberwolves Atlanta Hawks
Team Records 21-12 15-19
Spread -4.5 -108 +4.5 -112
Moneyline -192 +160
Total Over 243.5 (-115) Under 243.5 (-105)
Where State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
When Wednesday, December 31, 2025
Time 03:00 PM EST
TV FanDuel SN North Extra

The Minnesota Timberwolves and the Atlanta Hawks collide at the State Farm Arena on Wednesday night. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been in great form as they’ve won 11 of their last 15 games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after making light work of the Bulls in a dominant 136-101 road win on Monday. Naz Reid led the team with 33 points on 11 of 18 shooting off the bench, Anthony Edwards added 23 points with four assists on nine of 13 shooting while Julius Randle chipped in with 17 points and 14 assists.

As a team, the Timberwolves shot 54 percent from the field and 15 of 37 from the 3-point line as they closed the second quarter on a 23-10 run to take the lead into halftime. Before they caught fire and exploded for 82 points in the second half to secure one of their most dominant wins of the season so far.  

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have been in terrible shape as they’ve lost 11 of their last 13 games overall and they will be hoping to arrest a seven-game losing streak after getting routed by the Thunder in a 140-129 road defeat on Monday. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the team with 30 points and five assists on 11 of 24 shooting, Onyeka Okongwu added 26 points with 14 rebounds and six assists, Dyson Daniels tallied 13 points with seven assists while Vit Krejci chipped in with 18 points.

As a team, the Hawks shot 47 percent from the field and a sizzling 25 of 54 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running and really took the fight to the Thunder with 74 points in the first half. However, the momentum completely flipped in the third quarter where the Hawks got outscored by 43-29 to fall behind by 15 points and eventually lose by double digits. 

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Timberwolves and Hawks at State Farm Arena.
  • The Timberwolves have lost 18 of their last 22 games at State Farm Arena.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Timberwolves and Hawks.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games against Hawks teams that held a losing record.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won 14 of their last 15 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Hawks have lost each of their last six games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at State Farm Arena.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in five of their last six day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Timberwolves’ last five games against the Hawks following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Hawks’ last 11 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Dyson Daniels ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.
  • Trae Young is one of only four players in the league to have recorded 17+ assists in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 3rd in the league for pace this season (102.4).
  • The Hawks rank 28th in the league for rebound percentage this season (47.3%).
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for H2 points per game this season (59.8).
  • The Timberwolves rank 4th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.1).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Timberwolves are still playing without Terrence Shannon Jr, while the Hawks are keeping an eye on Trae Young who is questionable for this one. The Timberwolves come into this contest as clear favorites, as they’ve been one of the form teams in the league, while the Hawks have gone ice-cold lately despite getting most of their players back healthy.

This is the first meeting between these teams so we don’t have a lot to go off of except for their recent form. The Timberwolves are playing great basketball, they are healthy and they should have little trouble earning the win and cover at the short line in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Minnesota -3.5

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