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Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 2/3/25 NBA Picks

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Oklahoma City Thunder (38-9) vs Milwaukee Bucks (26-21)

February 3, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 — Over/Under: 233

(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Monday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the Grizzlies and Spurs, and they play the Hornets, Hawks, and 76ers next. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.7 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 112.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 31.8 points and 12.2 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 25.3 points and 4.6 rebounds. Bobby Portis is the third double-digit scorer and Brook Lopez is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.3 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Kings, lost to the Warriors, and they play the Suns, Raptors, and Grizzlies next. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 117 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 104.7 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.4 points and 6 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 21.1 points and 5.6 rebounds. Isaiah Hartenstein is the third double-digit scorer and Luguentz Dort is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bucks have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games at Paycom Center against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won seven of their last eight games against the Thunder.
  • The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs after losing as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (11.1).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.6).
  • The Bucks rank 29th in the league for steals per game this season (7.3).
  • The Bucks rank 2nd in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (45.1%).

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report 

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic, Chet Holmgren, and Ajay Mitchell. Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, and Jalen Williams are questionable. 

Liam Robbins and Bobby Portis are questionable after not playing last night.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

It might be time to admit the Milwaukee Bucks aren’t a good basketball team, as they’ve lost three straight games, all as favorites. After losing to the Trail Blazers and Spurs, you’d think the Bucks would have been locked in at home to beat a Grizzlies team without Morant. Nope. They lost that as well. Now the Bucks are on the end of a back-to-back. The Thunder are arguably the most consistent team in the league, which includes a 20-3 SU record at home. The Thunder also have a cover percentage of 68.1 percent, which is the best in the NBA. I’m not getting positive vibes from the Bucks right now. Give me the Thunder and the chalk on Monday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5

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