Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction NBA Picks 11/26/24

Pick details

Miami Heat (7-7) vs Milwaukee Bucks (8-9)

November 26, 2024 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat -1.5 — Over/Under: 223

(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Miami Heat duke it out at the Kaseya Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks 

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in great form as they’ve won six of their last seven games overall and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after sneaking past the Hornets in a 125-119 home win on Saturday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 32 points, 11 rebounds, and six assists, Damian Lillard added 31 points while Gary Trent Jr chipped in with 16 points off the bench. As a team, the Bucks shot 48 percent from the field and 18 of 37 from the 3-point line as they took control with 31 points in the second quarter to take the early lead, before they exploded for 37 points in the third quarter to push the lead out to 20 points at one stage. The Bucks will take on the Wizards after this one.

Miami Heat 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in decent shape as they’ve won four of their last six games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after outlasting the Mavericks in a 123-118 overtime win on Sunday. Jimmy Butler led the team with 33 points, nine rebounds, and six assists, Bam Adebayo added 19 points with 11 rebounds and five assists while Tyler Herro chipped in with 18 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists. As a team, the Heat shot 43 percent from the field and 14 of 41 from the 3-point line as they missed out on a crucial opportunity to win the game in regulation before they made up for it with their defense by limiting the Mavericks to just four points in overtime. The Heat will play against the Hornets, Raptors, Celtics, and Lakers following this game.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won seven of their last eight night games.
  • The Heat have lost three of their last four games as favorites after coming off overtime.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
  • The road team has covered the spread in three of the last four games between the Bucks and Heat.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the last nine night games between the Bucks and Heat have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Bucks’ last four games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back has gone OVER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Bucks could be shorthanded again as Taurean Prince is questionable and Khris Middleton is still out, while the Heat should have Terry Rozier back in the lineup which is a real boost. The Bucks have had their struggles this season, but they seem to be in a groove now, so I am a little surprised to see them open as the underdogs in this spot. Yes, the Bucks are on the road, but they have had an extra day’s rest compared to the Heat and I think they represent decent value in this matchup.
 

Peter Tran's Pick: Milwaukee +1.5

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