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Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 12/26/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Bucks | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-18 | 14-16 |
| Spread | +5.5 -112 | -5.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +180 | -218 |
| Total | Over 226.5 (-108) | Under 226.5 (-112) |
| Where | FedExForum, Memphis, TN | |
| When | Friday, December 26, 2025 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FanDuel SN SE | |
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the Timberwolves, beat the Pacers, and they play the Bulls next. The Bucks have lost 14 of their last 19 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 113 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.2 points on 47 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.9 points and 10.1 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 20.4 points and 4.9 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Kuzma is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc and 72.5 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Thunder, beat the Jazz, and they play the Wizards next. The Grizzlies have won 10 of their last 15 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 116.2 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 17.8 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 17.7 points and 7.5 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Zach Edey is grabbing 11.1 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last seven night games against the Bucks.
- The Bucks have lost 22 of their last 23 games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games following a win.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Bucks.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Bucks have won each of their last five night games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games at FedExForum following a win.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road win.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Bucks’ last eight games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Grizzlies’ last four games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Jaren Jackson Jr. is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 6+ blocks in a game this season.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Bobby Portis ranks 5th amongst qualified players for 3P% (46.6%) this season.
- AJ Green ranks 7th amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.8%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Grizzlies rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (21.8).
- The Grizzlies rank 3rd in the league for rebounds per game this season (46.2).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (72.5%).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (14.8).
Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report
The Grizzlies will be without Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Zach Edey, John Konchar, Brandon Clarke, and Vince Williams Jr. Ja Morant and Cedric Coward are questionable.
The Bucks will be without Taurean Prince and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Gary Trent Jr. is questionable.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
The Bucks are still without their best player, and they’re on the road where they’re 4-10 SU. The Grizzlies have a CVS receipt of an injury report, but they continue to find ways to win games and have been able to cash tickets here and there lately. The Grizzlies are 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the Bucks. The Grizzlies haven’t lost to the Bucks since January 2022. Spider-Man: No Way Home was in theaters during that time. This probably has more to do with the Bucks without Giannis more than anything, but I’ll lay the points with the Grizzlies at home.
