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Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Player Prop Picks 2/25/25 NBA Picks

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Houston Rockets (35-22) vs Milwaukee Bucks (32-24)

February 25, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Houston Rockets -4.5 — Over/Under: 226.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks are set to face the Houston Rockets on Tuesday, February 25, 2025, at the Toyota Center in Houston. The Bucks, currently holding a 32-24 record, are on a four-game winning streak, recently securing a 120-113 victory over the Miami Heat. In that game, Damian Lillard led the team with 28 points, while Giannis Antetokounmpo contributed 23 points and 16 rebounds. Notably, the Bucks will be without forward Bobby Portis Jr., who is serving a 25-game suspension for violating the NBA’s drug policy. 

The Rockets, with a 35-22 record, are looking to rebound after a 124-115 loss to the Utah Jazz. Alperen Sengun delivered a strong performance in that game, recording 27 points and 12 rebounds, while Jalen Green added 25 points and 10 assists. Despite leading by seven points in the fourth quarter, the Rockets were unable to maintain their advantage, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in closing out games.

 

Damian Lillard Under 7 Rebounds

Damian Lillard has played 45 games for the Milwaukee Bucks during the 2024-25 NBA season, averaging 7.5 assists per game, ranking him 9th in the league. In his most recent game on February 23rd, 2025, against the Miami Heat, Lillard recorded 8 assists, contributing to the Bucks’ 120-113 victory. 

I don’t like this matchup for Damian Lillard when it comes to facilitating the ball. The Houston Rockets have arguably one of the best perimeter defenses in the league. The Rockets allow 22.8 assists per game to opposing teams which is the fewest in the whole NBA. This should be a quiet night for Dame in the assist column. 

Jalen Green Over 22.5 Points

Jalen Green has played 57 games for the Houston Rockets during the 2024-25 NBA season, averaging 21.5 points per game. He has achieved a field goal percentage of 42.7%, reflecting his efficiency in scoring. Notably, on January 13, 2025, Green matched his career high by scoring 42 points in a game against the Memphis Grizzlies. He became the second player in Rockets history, alongside Hakeem Olajuwon, to score 40 or more points while shooting at least 70% from the field. 

Jalen Green is coming off two solid games scoring 25 against the Utah Jazz and 35 against the Minnesota Timberwolves. With Fred Van Vleet still being out for the Rockets guys like Jalen Green have had to step up and put more offensive workload on their shoulders. I expect Jalen Green to have another solid night scoring the ball on Tuesday.

Taurean Prince Under 1.5 Three Pointers

Taurean Prince has played 54 games for the Milwaukee Bucks during the 2024-25 NBA season, averaging 8.1 points per game. He has demonstrated exceptional proficiency from beyond the arc, with a three-point shooting percentage of 46.6% Over the course of the season, Prince has made 98 three-pointers out of 212 attempts, contributing significantly to the Bucks’ offensive strategy.

Even though Prince has been one of the Buck’s more efficient 3-point shooters I don’t like this matchup for him facing the Houston Rockets. The Rockets are giving up just 12.2 3-pointers per game to opposing teams which is the second-fewest in the league only behind the Orlando Magic. We also saw Prince not hit a three in his last game against the Miami Heat. We should also get some good plus odds with this line as well. 

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above

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