Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction 1/22/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and Portland Trail Blazers meet Thursday in NBA action at the Moda Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Warriors, beat the Kings, and they play the Jazz next. The Heat have lost 5 of their last 8 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.3 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 118.3 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.7 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview

The Portland Trail Blazers beat the Kings and Lakers, and they play the Raptors next. The Trail Blazers have won 10 of their last 13 games.

The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 116.3 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 118.2 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Deni Avdija is averaging 26.2 points and 7.1 rebounds, while Shaedon Sharpe is averaging 21.8 points and 4.5 rebounds. Jerami Grant is the third double-digit scorer and Jrue Holiday is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win

• The Trail Blazers have won eight of their last nine night games.
• The Heat have lost each of their last seven games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in each of their last six night games at Moda Center.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Trail Blazers have lost four of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Heat have won each of their last five games at Moda Center.
• The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games at Moda Center.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last eight Thursday games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Trail Blazers’ last four games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

Portland Trail Blazers Player Facts

• Shaedon Sharpe ranks 6th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.8) this season.
• Toumani Camara ranks 41st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (2.5) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Norman Powell ranks 5th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.9) this season.
• Bam Adebayo ranks 3rd amongst qualified Forwards for rebounds per game (9.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Trail Blazers rank 30th in the league for turnovers per game this season (16.8).
• The Trail Blazers rank 30th in the league for three-point percentage this season (33.8%).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.6).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.7).

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Injury Report

The Trail Blazers will be without Damian Lillard, Blake Wesley, Scoot Henderson, Matisse Thybulle, and Kris Murray. Robert Williams III, Jerami Grant, Sidy Cissoko, and Jrue Holiday are questionable.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro. Kel’el Ware is questionable.

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction

The Trail Blazers are on a heater, as they’re 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. The Trail Blazers are doing this with a CVS receipt of an injury report on a nightly basis. The problem is that injury report is even longer than usual with so many guys questionable on top of being out. There’s only so much a team can overcome. The Heat have won 2 of their last 3 games and have shown the offensive explosions are there. It’s just a matter of consistency.

As well as the Trail Blazers have played, if the Heat are serious about staying out of the play-in tournament, these are games they take advantage of. If you can’t beat a team that has 69 players on the injury report, you look funny in the light. I’ll grab the free bucket with Miami.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Miami Heat +1.5