Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction 2/26/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat travel to the Xfinity Mobile Arena to battle the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat have been in decent shape as they’ve won four of their last six games overall but they will be hoping to bounce back here after having their three-game win streak snapped by the Bucks in a 128-117 road defeat on Tuesday. Norman Powell led the team with 26 points, Bam Adebayo added 18 points with nine rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins chipped in with 16 points, eight rebounds, and five assists.

As a team, the Heat shot 43 percent from the field and 16 of 48 from the 3-point line as they poured in 35 points in the third quarter to overcome a slow start and take the lead, but they went cold when it mattered most and got outscored by 14-1 in the final 3:47 to allow the Bucks off the hook in the end. 

Philadelphia 76ers Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Philadelphia 76ers look to have moved on from their ugly four-game slide, as they are now aiming for a third straight victory after routing the Pacers in a 135-114 road win on Tuesday. Tyrese Maxey led the team with 32 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists on 10 of 22 shooting; Joel Embiid added 27 points with six rebounds and five assists, while VJ Edgecombe chipped in with 23 points, seven rebounds, and four assists on nine of 13 shooting.

As a team, the 76ers shot 58 percent from the field and eight of 29 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 45 points in the second quarter to take a 10-point lead into halftime and they kept their foot on the gas until the lead ballooned to 28 points at one stage. 

Why the Philadelphia 76ers will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents that hold a winning record.
• The 76ers have covered the spread in three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The 76ers have lost each of their last nine games at Xfinity Mobile Arena against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won each of their last five games against the 76ers.
• The 76ers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games following a loss.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the 76ers’ last five games as home favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last four games against the 76ers following a road loss has gone UNDER the total points line.

Philadelphia 76ers Player Facts

• Quentin Grimes ranks 20th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FT% (84.4) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is one of only nine qualified guards in the league shooting at least 50% from the field this season.
• Bam Adebayo ranks 10th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (9.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The 76ers rank 30th in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (32.8%).
• The 76ers rank 2nd in the league for Q2 points per game this season (30.6).
• The Heat rank first in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.6).
• The Heat rank first in the league for H1 points per game this season (61.8).

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction

The Heat are still missing Nikola Jovic, with Davion Mitchell listed as questionable, while the 76ers are keeping an eye on Joel Embiid, who is day-to-day with right shin soreness. These two squads have already clashed once this season, with the Heat winning by 127-117 back on Nov. 23.

This is a game where you should check the lineups before tipoff, but assuming that the 76ers’ Joel Embiid sits out, I will lean toward the Heat, who were starting to turn the corner before they got stopped by the Bucks in their last outing. This should be close, but I think the Heat does enough to get the job done on the road.

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami +1.5