Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction 12/21/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat invade Madison Square Garden to battle the New York Knicks on Sunday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat have been in a real slump as they’ve lost six of their last seven games overall and they will be hoping for a better result after getting routed by the Celtics in a 129-116 road defeat on Friday. Kel’el Ware led the team with 24 points, 14 rebounds and two assists on eight of 12 shooting, Norman Powell added 18 points while Bam Adebayo chipped in with 16 points, 10 rebounds and four assists.

As a team, the Heat shot just 39 percent from the field and 19 of 49 from the 3-point line as they fought hard to hang tough with the Celtics in a tightly contested game. They allowed the Celtics to go on a pivotal 20-5 run in the fourth quarter. The Heat had a total of six players finishing in double figures in scoring but they just had no answer for the Celtics’ Derrick White who drained nine 3-pointers for the game. 

New York Knicks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the New York Knicks have been on a tear, as they’ve won 11 of their last 13 games overall. They will be looking to bounce back here after having their seven-game win streak halted by the 76ers in a 116-107 loss on Friday. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team with 22 points and 11 rebounds, Jalen Brunson added 22 points with six rebounds and nine assists while Mikal Bridges and Mitchell Robinson each scored 21 points.

As a team, the Knicks shot 44 percent from the field and eight of 32 from the 3-point line as they battled the 76ers in a game that remained neck and neck until the fourth quarter. The Knicks went cold and managed just 20 points to fade away at the end. 

Why the New York Knicks will win

• The Knicks have won each of their last nine Sunday games at Madison Square Garden.
• The Heat have lost each of their last six games at Madison Square Garden.
• The Knicks have covered the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games at Madison Square Garden.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won three of their last four games against the Knicks following a road loss.
• The Heat have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 Sunday games against the Knicks.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Knicks’ last five games against the Heat following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Heat’s last seven road games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction

The Heat have ruled out Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro and Nikola Jovic with Davion Mitchell and Andrew Wiggins both listed as questionable, while the Knicks are still missing Landry Shamet and Miles McBride. This is another game where you should check the lineups before tipoff given the injury cloud hanging over the Heat.

With that being said, even if the Heat had all their players available, I would still side with the Knicks, who were on fire before their loss to the 76ers. The line is a little high, but I still think the Knicks bounce back with a comfortable win in front of their home fans.

Peter Tran's Pick: New York -8.5