Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 10/24/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and Memphis Grizzlies meet Friday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Magic, and they play the Knicks and Hornets next. The Heat haven’t started 0-2 since the 2022-23 season.

The Miami Heat are averaging 121 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 125 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 28 points and 9 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18 points and 1 assist. Davion Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer, and Bam Adebayo is grabbing 12 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 40 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies beat the Pelicans, and they play the Pacers and Warriors next. The Grizzlies haven’t started 2-0 since the 2022-23 season.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 128 points on 51.3 percent shooting and allowing 122 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 35 points and 3 rebounds, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 18 points and 1 assist. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 29.7 percent from beyond the arc and 81.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Grizzlies have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
• The Heat have lost 11 of their last 12 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last four home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games following a win.
• The Heat have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Heat’s last eight road games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Grizzlies’ last five night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Santi Aldama ranks T10th amongst qualified players for blocks per game (2.0) this season.
• Jock Landale ranks T10th amongst qualified players for blocks per game (2.0) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Norman Powell ranks T10th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.0) this season.
• Nikola Jovic ranks T21st amongst qualified players for 3P% (66.7%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Grizzlies rank 1st in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (43.0).
• The Grizzlies rank T1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (100.0%).
• The Heat rank T2nd in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (21.0).
• The Heat rank 29th in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (35.0).

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report

The Grizzlies will be without Vince Williams Jr., Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, and Zach Edey. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Ja Morant are questionable.

The Heat will be without Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, and Kasparas Jakucionis.

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

The Heat showed things in their opener against the Magic and could’ve won as big underdogs. There are positives coming out of that game. The Grizzlies are ridiculously injured for it being this early in the season, and there’s a chance they could be without Morant and KCP as well. It’s impossible to get behind the Grizzlies seeing that injury report. Need more clarity. I’ll grab the bucket with the Heat if forced to make a pick at the time of this writing.