Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction 12/19/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat travel to the TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Friday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat have been in poor form as they’ve lost six of their last eight games overall. However, they will be eager to build some momentum after snapping a five-game slide with a 106-95 road win over the Nets last night. Norman Powell led the team with 24 points on eight of 14 shooting, Kel’el Ware added 22 points with 12 rebounds on eight of 11 shooting, while Jaime Jacquez Jr chipped in with 19 points on nine of 13 shooting off the bench.

As a team, the Heat shot 46 percent from the field and nine of 28 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 30 points in the first quarter to take the early lead. However, it was a real close contest all the way until the fourth quarter, where they used a pivotal 14-3 run to pull away and finish with the much-needed victory.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics look to have cooled off from their five-game win streak, as they are now on a two-game losing streak after falling short to the Pistons in a 112-105 loss on Monday. Jaylen Brown led the team with 34 points, eight rebounds and seven assists, Derrick White added 31 points on 10 of 18 shooting while Payton Pritchard chipped in with 12 points and five assists.

As a team, the Celtics shot 46 percent from the field and 10 of 39 from the 3-point line as they poured in 33 points in the first quarter to take an early 12-point lead. However, they got just 14 points from their bench players, which was the difference in a close contest that could’ve gone either way. Jordan Walsh had a quiet game of just eight points, while Neemias Queta finished with just six points. 

Why the Boston Celtics will win

• The Celtics have won each of their last nine games on the first leg of a back-to-back after losing as favorites.
• The Heat have lost each of their last four road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Celtics.
• The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games as favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at TD Garden when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Celtics’ last four games at TD Garden.
• The Celtics have lost three of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents following a win.
• The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the Celtics’ last seven games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction

The Heat are still playing without Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson and Nikola Jovic, while the Celtics have ruled out Jayson Tatum once again. The Heat are coming into this game fresh off a much-needed win over the Nets, but they were really struggling before that win and are now playing their second game of a back to back set.

The Celtics are coming into this one fresh off a couple tough losses, but they are healthy except for Tatum, and I think they are decent value as this modest line at home. The Celtics should be fully rested, and I think they get the job done with a win and cover at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: Boston -6.5