Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 2/24/25 NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks meet Monday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat beat the Raptors, lost to the Bucks, and they play the Pacers, Knicks, and Wizards next. The Heat have lost five of their six games since trading Jimmy Butler to the Warriors. The Heat also lost Nikola Jovic last night to a broken hand.

The Miami Heat are averaging 109.9 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 110.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.9 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.8 points and 10.1 rebounds. Andrew Wiggins is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rosier is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview 

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Magic and Pistons, and then play the Thunder, Grizzlies, and Bucks next. The Hawks have lost three straight games, but have a chance to gain ground on the Heat for the eighth seed in the East.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 116.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 119.1 points on 48.1 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 24 points and 3.2 rebounds, while Dyson Daniels is averaging 13.8 points and 5.5 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Zaccharie Risacher is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Heat have lost three of their last four games as road favorites.
• The Hawks have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against the Heat following a loss.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Hawks have lost seven of their last eight games at State Farm Arena.
• The Heat have won each of their last seven games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Hawks’ last five games.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Injury Report 

The Hawks won’t have Jalen Johnson, Kobe Bufkin, Larry Nance Jr., and Vit Krejci.

The Miami Heat will be without Kevin Love, Nikola Jovic, and Dru Smith.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Hawks have covered seven of their last 10 games but this line is so soft, it doesn’t matter much. The Hawks continue to pile up the losses and look like a team that’s running out of gas. The Heat are on the end of a back-to-back, but they had their chances to beat the Bucks, which was encouraging. This is a big game in terms of seeding for the potential play-in tournament and it just feels like the Heat are playing with more sense of urgency. The Hawks are also just 12-14 at home this season so home court doesn’t matter. State Farm Arena is also one of the places you often hear “Let’s go Heat!” chants. I’ll lay the small number with the Heat.