Apr 15, 2025; San Francisco, California, USA; Memphis Grizzlies guard Ja Morant (12) talks with Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) in between free throw by Curry in the fourth quarter at the Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images
Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 10/27/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

Memphis (2-1) vs Golden State (2-1)

October 27, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Golden State -8.5 — Over/Under: +238.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors meet Monday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies beat the Pacers, lost to the Heat, and they play the Suns next. The Grizzlies have won 6 of their last 9 regular season games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 123.3 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 124 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 22 points and 2.7 rebounds, while Cedric Coward is averaging 19 points and 2.3 assists. Jaren Jackson Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 40.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Nuggets, lost to the Trail Blazers, and they’ll play the Clippers next. The Warriors have won 9 of their last 13 regular season games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 125 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 126.3 points on 54 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 33.3 points and 4.7 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 22 points and 4.7 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Draymond Green is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 40.8 percent from beyond the arc and 83.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 3.77 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 10 games at Chase Center.
  • The Warriors have won each of their last nine home games against Grizzlies teams that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Warriors have lost each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Grizzlies have won four of their last five road openers.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in four of their last five night games against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Warriors’ last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Grizzlies’ last eight games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
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Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Jonathan Kuminga has recorded three games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
  • Jimmy Butler has recorded three games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has recorded three games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. ranks T2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per game (2.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Warriors rank 30th in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (47.7).
  • The Warriors rank T1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (100.0%).
  • The Grizzlies rank 29th in the league for steals per game this season (6.3).
  • The Grizzlies rank 2nd in the league for free throws made per game this season (28.3).

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report

The Warriors are without De’Anthony Melton, Alex Toohey, and Al Horford.

The Grizzlies will be without Vince Williams Jr., Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, and Zach Edey.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

The Grizzlies are going to be big underdogs until they start getting players back from injury, but still, this line feels a bit rich. The Grizzlies have had success against the Warriors in the past, and the underdog has covered 5 of the last 10 meetings. The Warriors are also an aging team that hasn’t exactly defended well through their first few games. If Ja can push the pace and get the Grizzlies out in transition, this could be a close game. I’m going to take my chances with the points on Monday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +8.5

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