Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction 11/12/2026 NBA Picks Today

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction

The Mavericks have been one of the biggest surprises in the NBA up to this point, and getting this many points is attractive. However, I still need to see more, as the Mavs’ last five games have been against the Pacers, Nets, Jazz, Spurs, and Kings. Many of those teams are in rough shape, and that includes a loss to the Kings as a 7.5-point favorite.

Even without Edwards, the Timberwolves are rolling, and they’ve racked up a 10-1 ATS record. The Timberwolves have a 90.9 percent cover percentage, which is comfortably the best ATS record in the NBA. I’m just not eager to step in front of the best cover team in the league, especially when the line isn’t too steep. I’m going to lay the points with the Timberwolves on Thursday night.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Pacers and Nets, and they play the Cavs next. The Mavs have won 6 of their last 8 games. The Mavs are 2-2 SU on the road, 5-2 SU at home, and 7-4 ATS on the season.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 115 points per game on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 110.3 points per game on 45.3 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 25.9 points and 6.9 assists per game. Kyrie Irving is averaging 22.9 points and 3.2 rebounds per game. P.J. Washington is averaging 14.6 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Naji Marshall is averaging 11.1 points and 4.5 assists per game. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Pelicans and Jazz, and they play the Bulls next. The Timberwolves have won 4 straight games. The Timberwolves are 4-2 SU on the road, 4-1 SU at home, and 10-1 ATS on the season.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 118.1 points per game on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 107 points per game on 43.5 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 33.3 points and 4.8 rebounds per game. LaMelo Ball is averaging 18.3 points and 6 assists per game. Ayo Dosunmu is averaging 18.1 points and 4.9 rebounds per game. Jaden McDaniels is averaging 17 points and 6.1 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 67 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.8 rebounds per game.

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Injury Report

Anthony Edwards is out for the Timberwolves with a knee injury. Donte DiVincenzo is out with an Achilles injury. Joan Berringer is questionable with a face injury.

Tarik Biberovic is out for the Mavs with a heel injury. Sergio De Larrea is out with a knee injury. Dereck Lively is out with a foot injury. Caleb Martin is available despite a thumb issue. Morez Johnson Jr. is probable despite a shin issue.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 15 games as road underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Timberwolves have won each of their last nine games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last seven games following a win.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won four of their last six games as road underdogs against the Timberwolves.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight night games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last four games between the Mavericks and Timberwolves have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• LaMelo Ball ranks 11th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.4) this season.
• Jaden McDaniels ranks 26th amongst qualified players for FG% (51.3%) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Kyrie Irving ranks 11th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (27.0) this season.
• P.J. Washington ranks 12th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (7.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.1).
• The Timberwolves rank T1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (30.0).
• The Mavericks rank T3rd in the league for H2 win percentage this season (72.7%).
• The Mavericks rank 4th in the league for field goal percentage this season (47.8%).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Minnesota -5.5