Pick details
| MATCHUP | Los Angeles Lakers | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 53-29 | 64-18 |
| Spread | +15.5 -110 | -15.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +600 | -900 |
| Total | Over 209.5 (-105) | Under 209.5 (-115) |
| Where | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK | |
| When | Thursday, May 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | Prime Video | |
LA Lakers Betting Preview
The LA Lakers have lost 3 of their last 4 games but have a chance to even up the series at 1-1. The Lakers have won 20 of their last 27 games.
The LA Lakers are averaging 99.6 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 100 points on 42.1 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 23.7 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Rui Hachimura is averaging 16.1 points and 3.7 rebounds. Austin Reaves is the third double-digit scorer, and Marcus Smart is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The LA Lakers are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.7 percent from the free-throw line. The LA Lakers are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder look to go up 2-0 and haven’t lost a game since April 12. The Thunder have won 12 of their last 14 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.8 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 102.4 points on 44 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.6 points and 7.6 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 20.5 points and 4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 87.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 15 night games at Paycom Center following a home win.
- The Lakers have lost each of their last 12 playoff games as road underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last seven night games against Lakers teams that held a winning record.
- The Lakers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
Why the Los Angeles Lakers will win
- The Lakers have won six of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Thunder have lost five of their last eight Western Conference Semifinals games as home favorites following a win.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven Western Conference Semifinals games as favorites following a win.
- The Lakers have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Thunder following a loss.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Lakers’ last five road games following a road loss has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Thunder’s last four home games following a home win has gone OVER the total points line.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Chet Holmgren ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.9) this season.
- Isaiah Joe ranks 4th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.3) this season.
Los Angeles Lakers Player Facts
- Marcus Smart is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 5+ steals in consecutive games this season.
- Rui Hachimura ranks 5th amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.3%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.0%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.2).
- Lakers players have recorded the most games with 30+ points (62) this season.
- Lakers players have recorded the most games with 40+ points (19) this season.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sober and Jalen Williams.
Luka Dončić is out for the Lakers. Jarred Vanderbilt is doubtful with a dislocated finger. Luke Kennard is questionable with neck soreness.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
I’d like to think the Lakers can make a series of this and compete, but they’ve lost 6 straight games against the Lakers and are 0-6 ATS in those games as well. In fact, the average margin of victory in those six wins is 25.1 points. Already undermanned with Luka out, we’re seeing Vanderbilt and Kennard on the injury report as well. The Lakers don’t have the depth to down more bodies. Also, there are no more long rests between games; LeBron and these other aging players are going to be feeling it more. History between these teams has shown us the Lakers don’t have the horses to compete. I’ll lay the number with OKC.
