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Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 10/26/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
Indiana (0-2) vs Minnesota (1-1)
October 26, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota -11 — Over/Under: +227.5
The Indiana Pacers and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Sunday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.
Indiana Pacers Betting Preview
The Indiana Pacers lost to the Thunder and Grizzlies, and they play the Mavericks next. The Pacers hope to avoid their first 0-3 start since the 2019-20 season.
The Indiana Pacers are averaging 119 points on 42.3 percent shooting and allowing 134.5 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 31 points and 7 rebounds, while Pascal Siakam is averaging 22.5 points and 10.5 rebounds. Obi Toppin is the third double-digit scorer, and Ben Sheppard is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.5 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Trail Blazers, lost to the Lakers, and they play the Nuggets next. The Timberwolves have lost 5 of their last 6 games if you include the preseason.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 114 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 121 points on 48.8 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 36 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.5 points and 6 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Donte DiVincenzo is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 41.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last nine home openers.
- The Pacers have lost each of their last four road games.
- The home team has covered the spread in 10 of the Timberwolves’ last 11 games.
- The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
Why the Indiana Pacers will win
- The Pacers have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games as favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Pacers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Target Center following a loss.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Central Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eighteen of the Pacers’ last 20 games as underdogs following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Timberwolves’ last five home openers as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Julius Randle is one of only eight qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (8.0) and assists (6.0) per game this season.
- Donte DiVincenzo rank T11th amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (3.0) this season.
Indiana Pacers Player Facts
- Ben Sheppard ranks T9th amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (6.5) this season.
- Aaron Nesmith leads all Pacers players for three-pointers per 36 minutes (3.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (19.5).
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (7.0).
- The Pacers rank 30th in the league for steals per game this season (4.0).
- The Pacers rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (10.0).
Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
Rob Dillingham is questionable for the Timberwolves with a nose issue.
The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Johnny Furphy, Andrew Nembhard, T.J. McConnell, Kam Jones, and Quenton Jackson. Bennedict Mathurin and Taelon Peter are questionable.
Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
This is a massive line, especially early in the season, but I have no choice but to lay it. The Pacers were already a banged up team, but now there’s a chance they could be without Mathurin as well. The Pacers are on the end of a back-to-back, which is brutal for teams playing a second straight game. The Timberwolves do play with their food at times and didn’t play any defense against the Lakers in their last effort. Still, the Pacers don’t have enough bodies to respect in a spot like this. It’s Timberwolves or pass.

