Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Indiana Pacers and Denver Nuggets meet Saturday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Bucks and Nets, and they play the Warriors next. The Pacers have lost 7 of their last 8 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 111.8 points on 40.8 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 31 points and 7 rebounds, while Pascal Siakam is averaging 25.6 points and 8.1 rebounds. Aaron Nesmith is the third double-digit scorer, and Obi Toppin is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and 73.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.6 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Warriors and Heat, and they play the Kings next. The Nuggets have won 9 of their last 11 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 124.6 points on 50.3 percent shooting and allowing 113.6 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 22.7 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.1 points and 13.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 86 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 games against the Pacers following a home win.
• The Pacers have lost each of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games at Ball Arena.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Nuggets have lost each of their last three games as home favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Pacers have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Ball Arena when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Pacers’ last nine road games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Nuggets’ last four games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (31.5%).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.6).
• The Pacers rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (96.0).
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for Q1 points per game this season (25.1).

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The Nuggets don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Kam Jones, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, Johnny Furphy, and Andrew Nembhard. Taelon Peter is questionable.

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets are more than capable of blowing the doors off in this spot, as the Pacers are losing and banged up as any team in NBA history. However, the Nuggets are on the end of a back-to-back, and this is a great deal of points. Also, while the Pacers aren’t winning, they’re 5-3 ATS on the season. The Pacers have covered 5 of their last 6 games as a double-digit underdog. Four of those covers were outright wins. I’ll lean toward the points on Saturday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Indiana Pacers -11.5