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Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 11/5/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
Golden State (5-3) vs Sacramento (2-5)
November 5, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Sacramento -2.5 — Over/Under: +228.5
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors lost to the Pacers, beat the Suns, and they’ll play the Nuggets next. The Warriors have won 12 of their last 18 regular season games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 117.8 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 114.8 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 26.6 points and 4.4 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 21.4 points and 4.9 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandin Podziemski is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc and 85.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings lost to the Nuggets, beat the Bucks, and they play the Thunder next. The Kings have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
The Sacramento Kings are averaging 115 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 50.1 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 27.4 points and 3.4 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 rebounds. Malik Monk is the third double-digit scorer and Domantas Sabonis is grabbing 14.2 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Kings have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Warriors have lost each of their last six Wednesday road games.
- The home team has covered the spread in eight of the Warriors’ last nine games.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games against Kings teams that held a losing record.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Kings have lost each of their last three games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last four games between the Warriors and Kings have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Warriors’ last four road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Kings rank T3rd in the league for turnovers per game this season (13.4).
- The Kings rank 28th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (50.1%).
- The Warriors rank T2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.3).
- The Warriors rank 29th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (83.3%).
Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report
The Kings will be without Keegan Murray. Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine are questionable.
The Warriors are without De’Anthony Melton, Al Horford, and Alex Toohey. Jimmy Butler is questionable.
Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
The Warriors are an aging team on the end of a back-to-back and saw Jimmy leave last night’s game. There’s also a chance Kerr sits others after playing last night. However, the Kings have done nothing this season to deserve to be favored against above-average teams. Obviously check the injury report before locking in anything, but I’m grabbing the bucket with the Warriors, as a fade of the Kings more than anything.
