Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 11/11/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and the Oklahoma City Thunder collide at the Paycom Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall, but they will be feeling a little better after snapping a two-game skid with a 114-83 win over the Pacers on Sunday. Jimmy Butler III led the team with 21 points, nine rebounds and seven assists on 10 of 15 shooting, Will Richard added 15 points off the bench while Quinten Post and Brandin Podziemski each scored 14 points.

As a team, the Warriors shot 43 percent from the field and 12 of 44 from the 3-point line, which aren’t impressive numbers. But they did all their damage in the fourth quarter where they outscored the Pacers by 39-18 to come away with the much needed blowout win at home. 

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been on fire as they’ve won 10 of their first 11 games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after routing the Grizzlies in a 114-100 road win on Sunday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 35 points, seven rebounds and six assists, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell each scored 21 points while Isaiah Hartenstein chipped in with 18 points and 13 rebounds.

As a team, the Thunder shot 43 percent from the field and just 10 of 43 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get going and fell behind by 19 points. Before they dominated the second half by 63-38 to make it look easy in the end. 

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 13 night games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last five road games.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six night games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won 12 of their last 13 games against the Thunder following a home win.
• The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight games at Paycom Center against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last nine Tuesday games as underdogs.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last nine night games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Eleven of the Warriors’ last 12 games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
• Ten of the last 11 night games between the Warriors and Thunder have gone OVER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Warriors are still keeping an eye on Al Horford who is questionable with a toe injury, while the Thunder have ruled out Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort and Jalen Williams once again. The Warriors haven’t been at their best lately but they were able to get a much-needed win in their last outing and are expecting to have Stephen Curry back in the lineup for this contest. Meanwhile, it has been business as usual for the red-hot Thunder, who must be brimming with confidence after erasing a 19-point deficit to beat the Grizzlies on Sunday. The Thunder are expectedly favorites at home, but the Warriors will be ready for this one and I think they can take this one down to the wire.

Peter Tran's Pick: Golden State +7.5