Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 1/26/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Monday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Mavs, beat the Timberwolves, and they’ll play the Jazz next. The Warriors have won 13 of their last 19 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 116.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 113.5 points on 47 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.4 points and 4.9 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12.2 points and 3.4 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and De’Anthony Melton is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves lost to the Bulls and Warriors, and they play the Mavs next. The Timberwolves have lost 5 straight games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119.2 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 115 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 29.6 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.6 points and 5.4 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Warriors have lost nine of their last 10 games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in six of their last seven night games against the Warriors following a home loss.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Timberwolves’ last three games.
• The Timberwolves have lost each of their last five games.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Timberwolves’ last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Timberwolves’ last six home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Warriors’ last eight games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Anthony Edwards is one of only four players in the league to have scored 30+ points in five straight games this season.
• Mike Conley ranks 4th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.6) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Draymond Green is one of only six qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.7) and assists (5.2) per game this season.
• Moses Moody ranks 31st amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for H2 points per game this season (60.2).
• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for H2 win percentage this season (69.6%).
• This season, 41.9% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line – highest mark in the league.
• The Warriors rank 29th for points in the paint per game (43.7) this season.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

The Warriors will be without Seth Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, and Jimmy Butler.

The Timberwolves will be without Terrence Shannon Jr.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

I’m not excited to back the Warriors on the end of a back to back given their age and injury report. The Warriors have also had issues on the road. However, this is a steep line for a Timberwolves team that’s lost 5 straight games. The underdog has outright won the first two games this season between the Warriors and Timberwolves. Yesterday’s game for the Timberwolves wasn’t pretty, and you have to wonder if everything that’s going on in the city is playing a role as well. I’ll take a shot with the Warriors and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Golden State Warriors +7.5