Oct 30, 2025; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA;  Milwaukee Bucks guard Ryan Rollins (13) passes the ball away from Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) in the first quarter at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-Imagn Images
Benny Sieu-Imagn Images

Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

Golden State (4-2) vs Indiana (0-5)

November 1, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Indiana +10.5 — Over/Under: +231.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Golden State Warriors and the Indiana Pacers do battle at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday night. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors have been in fine form as they’ve won four of their first six games. They will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their two-game win streak snapped by the Bucks in a 120-110 road defeat on Thursday. Stephen Curry led the team in scoring with 27 points, six rebounds and four assists, Jonathan Kuminga added 24 points with eight rebounds and four assists while Jimmy Butler III chipped in with 23 points and 11 rebounds.

As a team, the Warriors shot just 42 percent from the field and 13 of 38 from the 3-point line as they withstood a hot start from the Bucks to trail by just one point early in the fourth quarter. Before the Bucks went on a pivotal 9-3 run and another 6-0 run to start to pull away at the end. 

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers are still doing it tough as they are now hoping to avoid a sixth straight defeat after getting hammered by the Hawks in a 126-106 loss last night. Pascal Siakam led the team in scoring with 18 points, five rebounds and five assists, Jarace Walker added 17 points while Quenton Jackson chipped in with 15 points and four assists.

As a team, the Pacers shot a miserly 35 percent from the field and 13 of 47 from the 3-point line as they hung tight with the Hawks in a closely contested first half. Before they got outscored by 34-17 in the third quarter to trail by as many as 24 points at one stage. Aaron Nesmith had another poor outing as he scored just 12 points on three of 11 shooting which might mean more playing time for the newly acquired Mac McClung who scored 12 points in 19 minutes off the bench. 

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Pacers have won each of their last five games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Warriors have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last 12 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse following a home loss.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won each of their last six games after losing as favorites.
  • The Pacers have lost eight of their last nine games.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as road favorites after losing as favorites.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of the Warriors’ last 10 games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the last four night games between the Warriors and Pacers have gone UNDER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Warriors are still missing De’Anthony Melton and Alex Toohey, while the Pacers have ruled out Andrew Nembhard, TJ McConnell, Tyrese Haliburton and Bennedict Mathurin again. The Warriors were on a nice run before they got stopped by the Bucks in their last outing, but I think they get back to winning ways against this ice-cold Pacers team.

They have yet to taste victory through five games of action. It’s not like the Pacers are terrible, they are just so banged up right now, and now they are playing the Warriors on their second game of a back to back set. The line was always going to be hefty in this matchup, but I think the Warriors win this one pretty comfortably.

Peter Tran's Pick: Golden State -10.5

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