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Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 11/11/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Nuggets Denver | Kings Sacramento |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-2 | 3-7 |
| Spread | -8.5 -110 | +8.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -345 | +275 |
| Total | Over 241.5 (-115) | Under 241.5 (-105) |
| Where | Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA | |
| When | Tuesday, November 11, 2025 | |
| Time | 11:00 PM EST | |
| TV | NBC | |
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets beat the Warriors and Pacers, and they play the Clippers next. The Nuggets have won 10 of their last 12 regular season games.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 124.2 points on 50.7 percent shooting and allowing 111 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.2 points and 13 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 22.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 85.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 30.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game.
Sacramento Kings Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings lost to the Thunder and Timberwolves, and they play the Hawks next. The Kings have lost 6 of their last 8 games.
The Sacramento Kings are averaging 115.3 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 123.9 points on 50.3 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 25.2 points and 3.3 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 20.8 points and 3.8 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Russell Westbrook is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game.
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The home team has won 11 of the Nuggets’ last 12 games.
- The Nuggets have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Nuggets’ last three games.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Kings have lost each of their last 11 Tuesday games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have won 12 of their last 13 night games against Kings teams that held a losing record.
- The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Golden 1 Center against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the spread in four of the Kings’ last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last seven night games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last five games between the Nuggets and Kings at Golden 1 Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Sacramento Kings Player Facts
- Malik Monk ranks 16th amongst qualified players for 3P% (48.6%) this season.
- DeMar DeRozan ranks 32nd amongst qualified players for points per game (20.8) this season.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Jonas Valanciunas ranks 12th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.7) this season.
- Peyton Watson ranks 8th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Kings rank 29th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.8).
- The Kings rank 29th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (50.3%).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.6).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (25.6).
Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report
The Kings will be without Keegan Murray.
The Nuggets don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
The Nuggets are the better team and should be favored, but they’ve also feasted on a heavy home schedule. The Nuggets are 1-2 SU on the road this season. The Kings and Nuggets played last week and the Kings hung around, losing by 6 points as an 11.5-point underdog. Sabonis is back for the Kings, which is massive, and Westbrook should be motivated for these spots after Denver didn’t want him back. In the first game, Westbrook had 26 points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists on 10-17 shooting. I’ll take a shot with the home dog in this spot.
