Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Player Prop Picks 2/27/25 NBA Picks

The Milwaukee Bucks are set to host the Denver Nuggets on Thursday, February 27, 2025, at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. The Bucks, currently holding a 32-25 record, recently had their four-game winning streak snapped with a 100-97 loss to the Houston Rockets. In that matchup, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 27 points and 10 rebounds. Notably, the game saw a physical altercation resulting in the ejection of Houston’s Amen Thompson for a flagrant foul on Antetokounmpo. 

The Denver Nuggets, boasting a 38-20 record, are coming off a 125-116 victory over the Indiana Pacers. The team showcased impressive shooting, hitting 56.4% from the field. This matchup features two of the league’s premier players: Giannis Antetokounmpo for the Bucks and Nikola Jokić for the Nuggets. Both teams are vying for playoff positioning, making this a highly anticipated contest.

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Damian Lillard Over 7 Assists

Damian Lillard has been a pivotal playmaker for the Milwaukee Bucks during the 2024-25 NBA season. Over 46 games, he has averaged 7.5 assists per game, ranking 9th in the league. In a recent victory against the Miami Heat on February 24, Lillard contributed eight assists, complementing his 28 points. 

Lillard is coming off a game where he only had three assists, but that was against a scrappy Houston Rockets team that always plays tough defense on the perimeter. He has a better matchup in this one going against the Denver Nuggets, whose playstyle correlates to higher-scoring games. The Nuggets are giving up 29.3 assists per game to opposing teams, which is the most in the league. This should be a good bounce-back spot for Lillard when it comes to an assist perspective. 

Jamal Murray Over 2.5 Three Pointers

Jamal Murray has been a key contributor to the Denver Nuggets’ offense during the 2024-25 NBA season. Over 51 games, he has averaged 21.1 points, 6.1 assists, and 3.8 rebounds per game, with a field goal percentage of 47.5%. Focusing on his three-point shooting, Murray has made 2.4 three-pointers per game on 5.9 attempts, resulting in a 40.0% success rate from beyond the arc.

Jamal Murray has been playing on another level in the month of February.  We’ve seen him make four or more 3-pointers in five of his last six games. He has a good matchup in this one going against the Milwaukee Bucks, who are allowing 13.6 pointers per game to opposing teams, which is above the league average. Expect Murray’s success from beyond the arc to continue in this one. 

Aaron Gordon Over 12.5 Points

Aaron Gordon has played 35 games for the Denver Nuggets in the 2024-25 NBA season. He is averaging 13.0 points per game, with a field goal percentage of 51.9% and a three-point shooting percentage of 43.0%. In comparison to the previous season (2023-24), Gordon’s scoring has slightly decreased from 13.9 points per game, and his field goal percentage has also dipped from 55.6%. 

After a slow start to the season, Gordon has been picking it up since returning back from the All-Star break.  he scored 18 or more points in his last three games, and he’s coming off a game where he had 25 points against the Indiana Pacers. We see a total of 241.1 points in this game, which is the highest on the board. I’m looking to continue to ride the hot hand in this one.