Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 12/23/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets invade the American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday night. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets have been on a roll as they’ve won seven of their last eight games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after blowing past the Jazz in a 135-112 loss last night. Jamal Murray led the team with 27 points, six rebounds, and five assists. Tim Hardaway Jr provided the spark off the bench with 21 points on six of 11 shooting. Nikola Jokic tallied a triple-double of 14 points with 13 rebounds and 13 assists, while Cameron Johnson and Peyton Watson each scored 20 points.

As a team, the Nuggets shot 51 percent from the field and a sizzling 24 of 46 from the 3-point line as they got off to a red-hot start and were always in control after outscoring the Jazz by 40-15 in a dominant first quarter. 

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in decent form as they’ve won six of their last 10 games overall. They will be eager to avoid a third straight defeat after falling short to the resurgent Pelicans in a 119-113 road defeat last night. Anthony Davis led the team with 35 points and 17 rebounds on 16 of 28 shooting, Klay Thompson drained five 3-pointers to finish with 20 points off the bench while Cooper Flagg chipped in with 16 points, six rebounds and six assists.

As a team, the Mavericks shot 44 percent from the field and 10 of 33 from the 3-point line as they kept the Pelicans to just 21 points in the second quarter to open up an 11-point lead. However, they let themselves down in the fourth quarter where they got outscored by 40-26 to fall to 3-10 on the road so far this season. Ryan Nembhard had a rough game as he shot just two of 13 from the field for his four points and five turnovers. 

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won five of their last six games as home underdogs after losing as favorites.
• The Nuggets have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs after losing as favorites.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Mavericks.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Mavericks have lost 14 of their last 16 night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games on the second leg of a back-to-back after losing as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight home games against the Nuggets following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Nuggets’ last four games at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Naji Marshall is one of only eight players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
• Ryan Nembhard is one of only eight players in the league to have recorded 10+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Jamal Murray ranks 3rd in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.8%) this season.
• Cameron Johnson ranks 24th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.1).
• Eleven different Mavericks players have scored 20+ points in a game this season – most in the league.
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (40.3%).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.2).

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Nuggets have ruled out Christian Braun and Aaron Gordon once again, while the Mavericks are still playing without Kyrie Irving, Max Christie and Dereck Lively II. The Nuggets have quietly been one of the hottest teams in the league. They shouldn’t be too tired after cruising past the lowly Jazz in an easy win last night, compared to the Mavericks, who missed on a great opportunity to beat the Pelicans last night.

These teams last met on Dec 1, and it was the Mavericks who won by 131-121 behind 32 points from Anthony Davis, but I am expecting the opposite outcome here as the Nuggets have just been on a tear since that meeting.

Peter Tran's Pick: Denver -7.5