Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Prediction 1/7/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets pay a visit to the Boston Celtics at the TD Garden on Wednesday night. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets haven’t been at their best lately as they’ve dropped four of their past six games overall. But they will be feeling much better after they snapped a two-game skid with a 125-124 overtime win over the 76ers on Monday. Jalen Pickett drained seven 3-pointers to lead the team with 29 points on 11 of 20 shooting, Peyton Watson added 24 points with seven rebounds and four assists, Zeke Nnaji scored 21 points off the bench while Bruce Brown chipped in with 19 points.

As a team, the Nuggets shot 53 percent from the field and an efficient 18 of 37 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in a bit of trouble after falling behind by eight points early in the fourth quarter. Before they went on a pivotal 14-0 run to take the lead. Still, the Nuggets missed out on their chance to close out the game in regulation, but they made up for that in the overtime period where they restricted the 76ers to just four points to earn the gritty road win. 

Boston Celtics Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics have been on fire as they’ve reeled off eight wins from their last nine games and they will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after blowing past the Bulls in a 115-101 win on Monday. Anfernee Simons nailed eight 3-pointers to lead the way with 27 points on nine of 16 shooting off the bench, Payton Pritchard added 21 points with six rebounds and five assists while Neemias Queta chipped in with 13 points and 13 rebounds.

As a team, the Celtics shot just 40 percent from the field and 20 of 52 from the 3-point line, but this win was set up by their effort on defense. They were always in control after they restricted the Bulls to just 33 points in the first half. Jaylen Brown had an off night as he shot just six of 24 from the field and one of six from the 3-point line to finish with just 14 points. 

Why the Boston Celtics will win

• The Nuggets have lost each of their last nine night games at TD Garden following a road win.
• The Celtics have won eight of their last nine games.
• The Celtics have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Celtics have lost three of their last four night games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Nuggets’ last eight games.
• The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Six of the last seven games between the Nuggets and Celtics at TD Garden have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the Nuggets’ last five road games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total points line.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

• Derrick White is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.
• Jaylen Brown is one of only four players in the league to have scored 30+ points in five straight games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Celtics rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (15.9).
• The Celtics rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (15.4).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.8%).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (40.2%).

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Prediction

The Nuggets have ruled out Nikola Jokic, Jonas Valanciunas and Cameron Johnson with Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray and Tim Hardaway Jr all listed as questionable, while the Celtics are just missing Jayson Tatum. The Nuggets have cooled off a bit lately with the injuries starting to pile up, but they are coming into this one off a nice overtime win thanks to their bench players.

In contrast, the Celtics have continued their terrific form, they are relatively healthy, and they are riding a four-game win streak. The Nuggets deserve plenty of credit for their latest win, but it’s going to be tough to replicate that effort against a red-hot Celtics team playing at home. The line could shift by the time tipoff comes around if the Nuggets can get some players back, but as it stands, I prefer a play on the Celtics to get the win and cover at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: Boston -9.5