Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 11/17/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Monday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Clippers, beat the Trail Blazers, and they play the Knicks next. The Mavs have lost 15 of their last 21 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 111.4 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.8 points and 2.2 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 15.2 points and 6.6 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 31.1 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.2 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Kings, lost to the Nuggets, and they play the Wizards next. The Timberwolves have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 120.7 points on 50 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.3 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 25.5 points and 6.2 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Donte DiVincenzo is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 11 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have won each of their last eight home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Mavericks’ last four games at Target Center.
• The Timberwolves have lost five of their last six games against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the last eight games between the Mavericks and Timberwolves.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games at Target Center against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Timberwolves’ last eight night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Mavericks’ last four games have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Julius Randle ranks T8th in the league for points in the paint (158) this season.
• Anthony Edwards ranks T10th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.3) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Cooper Flagg rank T15th in the league for total steals + blocks (30) this season.
• P.J. Washington ranks T8th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for effective field goal percentage this season (58.1%).
• The Timberwolves rank 28th for second chance points (179) this season.
• The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for blocks per game this season (6.3).
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for three-point percentage this season (31.1%).

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

Terrence Shannon Jr. is out for the Timberwolves.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis and Dante Exum.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Mavericks are a mess and on the end of a back-to-back and no, a win over the Trail Blazers doesn’t move me. It wouldn’t be shocking if the Timberwolves win this game in blowout fashion. However, the Wolves play with their food a lot of times, and it’s no wonder they’re 5-8 ATS on the season. The Timberwolves have failed to cover 17 of their last 29 games as a double-digit favorite. The Mavs have covered 7 of the last 10 games against the Timberwolves. I’ll take a stab with the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Mavericks +14.5