Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 1/25/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks invade the Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

The Dallas Mavericks have been on a roll lately as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall. They will be looking to bounce back here after coming up just short to the Lakers in a disappointing 116-110 defeat last night. Max Christie led the team in scoring with 24 points on eight of 18 shooting, Naji Marshall added 21 points with 11 rebounds, Brandon Williams provided the spark off the bench with 20 points while Caleb Martin chipped in with 17 points.

As a team, the Mavericks shot just 41 percent from the field and 10 of 29 from the 3-point line as they absolutely dominated the third quarter by 35-14 to lead by 15 points midway through the fourth quarter. Before they got outscored by 29-8 in the final 6:44 to lose a game they should’ve won. 

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been in a rut as they’ve lost five of their last six games overall and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting beaten by the Nuggets in a 102-100 loss on Friday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 22 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists, Ryan Rollins added 21 points while Myles Turner chipped in with 17 points and six blocks.

As a team, the Bucks shot 40 percent from the field and 12 of 39 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get going and couldn’t get any traction until they fell behind by 23 points. This was a shame because they dominated the fourth quarter to cut the deficit to just one point before they ran out of time. 

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Bucks have won each of their last seven games against the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Mavericks.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Bucks have lost each of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have won five of the Bucks’ last seven games.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bucks’ last four games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Mavericks’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

• Bobby Portis ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for 3P% (46.5%) this season.
• Kyle Kuzma ranks 23rd in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (49.3%) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Dwight Powell is one of only 12 players in the league to have recorded 6+ steals in a game this season.
• Naji Marshall is one of only 15 players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points (501) this season.
• The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points per game (11.4) this season.
• Nine different Mavericks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.4).

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

The Mavericks are still missing Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II and Dante Exum, while the Bucks have ruled out Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Porter Jr with AJ Green listed as questionable. The Mavericks are playing their second game of a back to back set, which isn’t ideal, but they have clearly been the better team lately. I think they can take advantage of this banged up Bucks squad on the verge of a roster shakeup. This should be close, but I will lean with the Mavericks to pull off the minor upset on the road.

Peter Tran's Pick: Dallas +1.5