Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction NBA Picks 11/24/24

Pick details

Miami Heat (6-7) vs Dallas Mavericks (9-7)

November 24, 2024 at 06:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat -2.5 — Over/Under: 224.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat play host to the Dallas Mavericks at the Kaseya Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Pick.

Dallas Mavericks 

The Dallas Mavericks look to be heating up as they are now gunning for a fifth straight victory after outlasting the Nuggets in a 123-120 road win on Friday. Naji Marshall led the team with 26 points on 11 of 15 shooting off the bench, PJ Washington added 22 points with 13 rebounds while Kyrie Irving chipped in with 19 points and six assists. As a team, the Mavericks shot 50 percent from the field and 10 of 27 from the 3-point line as they caught fire early and exploded for 40 points in the second quarter to take a 24-point lead which proved to be just enough as the Nuggets cut the lead to just two points with 8:47 left in the fourth quarter. Fortunately, the Mavericks switched back on and were able to escape to keep their win streak alive. 

Miami Heat 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in decent form as they’ve won three of their past five games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after blowing past the struggling 76ers in a 106-89 win on Monday. Jimmy Butler led the team with 30 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists on eight of 12 shooting, Tyler Herro added 18 points with five assists while Duncan Robinson chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Heat shot just 41 percent from the field and 13 of 44 from the 3-point line as they struggled to match the 76ers early on and trailed going into halftime. However, the second half was a completely different story as the Heat clamped down and held the 76ers to just 33 points to win by double digits in the end. The Heat will face the Bucks, Hornets, and Raptors following this one.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Mavericks have lost seven of their last eight games at Kaseya Center following a win.
  • The Heat have won seven of their last eight games as home favorites against the Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Heat.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in four of their last five games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Heat’s last seven games against the Mavericks following a home win has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Mavericks’ last 10 night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Mavericks are still missing Luka Doncic and they have Daniel Gafford listed as questionable, while the Heat are keeping an eye on Jimmy Butler who is questionable with an illness. The Mavericks come into this game with plenty of momentum and they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their win over the red-hot Nuggets on Friday, but the Heat are gaining some momentum themselves and they should be fully rested as they haven’t played since Monday. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Mavericks pulled off the minor upset on the road, but with the line so short, I have to stick with the Heat to get the job done at home against a Mavericks team missing Doncic.

 

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami -2.5

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