Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 3/12/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies meet Thursday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Raptors and Hawks, and they play the Cavs next. The Mavs have lost 18 of their last 20 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.4 points and 4.1 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.2 points and 4.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Nets and 76ers and play the Pistons next. The Grizzlies have lost 5 straight games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 117.8 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Ty Jerome is averaging 19.4 points and 2.8 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 19.5 points and 8.1 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine road games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Grizzlies have won each of their last six games against the Mavericks following a loss.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Mavericks following a loss.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Grizzlies have lost eight of their last nine games following a road loss.
• The favorites have won each of the Mavericks’ last six games.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in five of their last six road games against Grizzlies teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Grizzlies’ last nine games as home underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Mavericks’ last five road games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Naji Marshall ranks 6th amongst qualified forwards for FG% (52.6%) this season.
• P.J. Washington ranks 9th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to record five or more losses when leading by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
• The Grizzlies rank 4th in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (90.6).
• The Mavericks have used 37 different starting fives this season—the most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.4%).

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report

The Grizzlies will be without Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, Ja Morant, Taj Gibson, and Santi Aldama. Taylor Hendricks, Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen, and Cedric Coward are doubtful.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II.

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

You’re scraping the bottom of the barrel if you’re looking to get involved in this game. With that said, I have to grab the points with the Grizzlies if forced to pick. As bad as the Grizzlies are, the Mavericks aren’t much better. The Mavs are 2-8 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games and they have just 7 road wins. The Grizzlies are at least at home and they’ve cashed 30 tickets this season overall. If I have to pick a side, I want points. It’s Grizzlies or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +4.5