Nov 5, 2025; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Memphis Grizzlies forward/center Jaren Jackson Jr. (8) talks with guard Ja Morant (12) during the second quarter against the Houston Rockets at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 11/7/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Mavericks Dallas Grizzlies Memphis
Team Records 2-6 3-6
Spread +4.5 -112 -4.5 -108
Moneyline +150 -180
Total Over 230.5 (-108) Under 230.5 (-112)
Where FedExForum, Memphis, TN
When Friday, November 7, 2025
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV FanDuel SN SE

The Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies meet Friday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview


The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Pelicans and Rockets, and they play the Wizards next. The Mavs have lost 11 of their last 15 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 106.3 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 113.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.8 points and 2.2 assists, while PJ Washington is averaging 15.8 points and 8.6 rebounds. Cooper Flagg is the third double-digit scorer, and D’Angelo Russell is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 31.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview


The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Pistons and Rockets, and they play the Thunder next. The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 114.9 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 120.9 points on 48.9 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 20 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 17 points and 1.3 assists. Cedric Coward is the third double-digit scorer, and Santi Aldama is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 84.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 38.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last six night games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Grizzlies have won 11 of their last 12 games at FedExForum against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Grizzlies’ last four games.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Southwest Division opponents.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won seven of their last eight games at FedExForum following a home loss.
  • The Grizzlies have lost five of their last six games.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against Southwest Division opponents after losing as favorites.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Grizzlies’ last five home games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Mavericks’ last five road games following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Grizzlies rank 29th in the league for H1 points per game this season (54.2).
  • The Grizzlies rank 2nd in the league for H2 points per game this season (60.6).
  • The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (69.3%).
  • The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.1).

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report


The Grizzlies will be without Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, and Zach Edey.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum.

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction


I’m not excited to back the Grizzlies, an underachieving team that has a disgruntled star. However, the Grizzlies are at home and the healthier team. The Mavs look awful, and they’re down three of their better players. Maybe the issues with Morant don’t work out, and he’s traded at some point, but the Grizzlies should still win this game. We’re not being asked to lay much. Give me the Grizzlies and the small number.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Memphis -4.5

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