Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction 1/31/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets meet Saturday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Hornets and Timberwolves, and they play the Celtics next. The Mavs have lost 3 straight games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.3 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.4 points and 2.8 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.5 points and 6.5 rebounds. Naji Marshall is the third double-digit scorer, and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 3.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Hawks, lost to the Spurs, and they play the Pacers next. The Rockets have won 7 of their last 10 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 116.3 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 110.5 points on 46 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.5 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 21.2 points and 9.2 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 75.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 50.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won each of their last 12 games at Toyota Center against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have lost each of their last six road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 road games.
• The home team has covered the spread in 21 of the Mavericks’ last 26 games.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last two games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Rockets have lost four of their last seven games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Rockets.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rockets’ last seven home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Injury Report

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams.

The Mavericks will be without Dante Exum, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Anthony Davis.

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction

I understand the Rockets are the more talented team, at home, and the healthier side. However, the Rockets have underachieved for stretches this season, and they’re just 22-24 ATS. The Mavs have also won the last two games against the Rockets, which includes a win earlier this month as an 8-point underdog. Since December 21, the Rockets are 1-6 ATS as a double-digit favorite. This line is too hefty. Give me the Mavs and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Mavericks +10.5