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Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 1/31/25 NBA Picks

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Detroit Pistons (23-24) vs Dallas Mavericks (26-22)

January 31, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Pistons -1 — Over/Under: 228

(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks pay a visit to the Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on Friday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons Pick.

Dallas Mavericks 

The Dallas Mavericks have been in decent shape as they’ve won three of their past four games overall and they will be eager to maintain that momentum after outlasting the Pelicans in a 137-136 road win on Wednesday. PJ Washington led the team with 25 points, 14 rebounds, and eight assists, Kyrie Irving added 25 points with nine rebounds and six assists, Daniel Gafford scored 22 points while Klay Thompson chipped in with 20 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 54 percent from the field and a sizzling 20 of 43 from the 3-point line as they poured in 40 points in the third quarter to turn an eight-point deficit into a 10-point lead, which proved to be just enough to hold off a late rally from the Pelicans.

Detroit Pistons 

Meanwhile, the Pistons have been in a real funk as they’ve lost five of their last seven games overall and they will be hoping to arrest a three-game skid after getting routed by the Pacers in a 133-119 road defeat on Wednesday. Cade Cunningham led the team with 32 points and nine assists, Malik Beasley added 20 points off the bench while Tobias Harris chipped in with 19 points. As a team, the Pistons shot 49 percent from the field and 12 of 34 from the 3-point line, but they didn’t show any level of urgency on the defensive end and were always fighting an uphill battle after allowing 74 points in the first half. Jalen Duren had a decent game of 14 points with 10 rebounds, but Tim Hardaway Jr scored just three points in 28 minutes of action. The Pistons will face the Bulls following this one.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

  • The Pistons have won each of their last two games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Mavericks have lost seven of their last 10 games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Pistons have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Little Caesars Arena against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Pistons have lost each of their last seven home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have won 10 of their last 12 road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against the Pistons following a road win.
  • The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Friday night games at Little Caesars Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Mavericks and Pistons at Little Caesars Arena has gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

The Mavericks are still missing a few players including Luka Doncic, Dereck Lively, and Dwight Powell, while the Pistons are still missing Jaden Ivey. The Mavericks are starting to turn things around and they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their gritty win over the Pelicans on Wednesday, while the Pistons are trending in the opposite direction after getting routed in their last outing. It’s hard to split these two squads at the moment, but I think the Mavericks are decent value as the underdogs in this spot.
 

Peter Tran's Pick: Dallas +1

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