Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction NBA Picks 11/22/24

Pick details

Denver Nuggets (8-5) vs Dallas Mavericks (8-7)

Game Info: Friday, November 22, 2024 at 10:00 pm (Ball Arena)

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -4.5 / Dallas Mavericks +4.5 — Over/Under:

(Get latest betting odds)


The Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets meet Friday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Thunder and Pelicans, and they play the Heat, Hawks, and Knicks next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 115.6 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.6 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24.3 points and 4.4 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Daniel Gafford is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Pelicans, split with the Grizzlies, and they play the Lakers, Knicks, and Jazz next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 116.6 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 115.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.7 points and 13.7 rebounds, while Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 18.3 points and 6.9 rebounds. Jamal Murray is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last six games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Nuggets have lost three of their last five games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Nuggets’ last five games at Ball Arena has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Mavericks’ last four games as road underdogs has gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

We know Luka Doncic is out for the Mavs, but Nikola Jokic is questionable for the Nuggets. Jokic wasn’t at practice on Thursday due to personal reasons. Of course, you should check the injury report before locking in anything. Assuming the Nuggets won’t have Jokic, I have to lean toward the Mavs and the points. Yes, the Nuggets beat the Grizzlies without Jokic, but Memphis had an injury report longer than a CVS receipt. The Mavericks still have guys who can lead the way to a victory. Jokic is so important to the Nuggets. Again, get an update on Jokic before betting.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Mavericks +4.5

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