Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction 11/10/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat play host to the Cleveland Cavaliers at the Kaseya Center on Monday night. Here’s a Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview 

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been on a tear lately and they will be looking to build on their current four-game win streak after sneaking past the Bulls in a 128-122 home win on Saturday. Donovan Mitchell led the team with 29 points, six rebounds and six assists, De’Andre Hunter added 19 points on 10 of 16 shooting, Evan Mobley tallied 24 points with eight rebounds and five assists while Jaylon Tyson chipped in with 17 points.

As a team, the Cavaliers shot 48 percent from the field and 17 of 46 from the 3-point line as they withstood an early 43-point explosion from the Bulls in the second quarter. Before they dominated the second half by 72-50 to overcome a 19-point deficit and keep their win streak alive. 

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat are starting to turn things around as they’ve won three of their last four games and they will be looking to maintain their momentum after outlasting the Trail Blazers in a 136-131 home win on Saturday. Nikola Jovic led the team with 29 points, nine rebounds and seven assists, Norman Powell added 22 points, Pelle Larsson scored 16 points while Andrew Wiggins chipped in with 15 points.

As a team, the Heat shot 51 percent from the field and 10 of 35 from the 3-point line as they caught fire early and poured in 45 points in the second quarter to take the early lead. But it was a battle till the end as the scores were tied with just 2:16 left on the clock before the Heat went on a crucial 7-0 run to take the game away. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won three of their last four games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Cavaliers have lost 24 of their last 29 night games at Kaseya Center.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

• The Cavaliers have won each of their last 11 Monday games.
• The Heat have lost each of their last six games against Cavaliers teams that held a winning record.
• The Cavaliers have covered the spread in each of their last eight Monday night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 16 of their last 20 games against Central Division opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Heat’s last nine games at Kaseya Center following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Cavaliers’ last six road games against the Heat following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. is one of only four players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
• Kel’el Ware is one of only 11 qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

• Jarrett Allen rank 12th amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (2.6) this season.
• Lonzo Ball ranks 13th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (8.3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for H1 points per game this season (67.5).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for pace this season (105.9).
• The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (90.0%).
• The Cavaliers rank 2nd in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (18.2).

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Cavaliers are still missing Max Strus and they are keeping an eye on Larry Nance Jr who is questionable for this one, while the Heat are still playing without Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo. The Cavaliers have come to life with four straight wins and they would’ve taken so much confidence from their impressive comeback win over the Bulls on Saturday. The Heat are in similar form and will be better with Powell back in the lineup, but they aren’t nearly as dangerous without Adebayo in the lineup. The Heat could make this one interesting, but in the end I have the Cavaliers staying hot with another win and cover on the road.

Peter Tran's Pick: Cleveland -7.5