Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Prediction 2/1/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Chicago Bulls and the Miami Heat battle it out yet again at the Kaseya Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Pick.

Chicago Bulls Betting Preview 

The Chicago Bulls have been in fine form as they’ve won five of their last nine games overall and they will be feeling pretty good after they snapped a three-game losing streak with a 125-118 win last night. Ayo Dosunmu led the team with 29 points, eight rebounds and nine assists on 11 of 16 shooting, Matas Buzelis added 21 points with eight rebounds and four assists while Isaac Okoro chipped in with 20 points.

As a team, the Bulls shot 52 percent from the field and a sizzling 20 of 40 from the 3-point line as they dominated the third quarter by 35-21 to overcome an 11-point deficit. However, the game was tied late in the fourth quarter before the Bulls closed the final 1:12 on a 9-2 run to avenge their loss to the Heat in the previous meeting. 

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in decent shape as they’ve won six of their last 11 games overall, but they will be out for revenge after falling short to the Bulls in a tough loss last night. Pelle Larsson led the team with 22 points, seven rebounds, four assists and five steals, Bam Adebayo added 21 points with 11 rebounds while Jaime Jacquez Jr chipped in with 20 points and seven assists off the bench.

As a team, the Heat shot 43 percent from the field and 13 of 48 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 38 points in the second quarter to open up an 11-point lead. However, they allowed the Bulls back into the contest and just couldn’t make their shots in the clutch when it mattered most. Simone Fontecchio had a quiet game of just eight points on three of 10 shooting while Nikola Jovic shot just one of six for his two points. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Bulls after losing as favorites.
• The Bulls have lost nine of their last 10 games on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
• The Bulls have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six games following a loss.

Why the Chicago Bulls will win

• The Bulls have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a road win.
• The Heat have lost 12 of their last 15 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Bulls have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 16 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bulls’ last five games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the Heat’s last seven home games following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.6).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for H1 points per game this season (62.1).
• The Bulls rank 3rd in the league for assists per game this season (29.9).
• The Bulls rank 28th in the league for steals per game this season (7.3).

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Bulls are still missing Zach Collins and Tre Jones, but they could have Josh Giddey, Jalen Smith, Coby White, and Nikola Vucevic all return. Meanwhile, the Heat are expecting to have Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, and Davion Mitchell return to the lineup. The Bulls were able to get some sweet revenge last night thanks to some clutch shooting, and now they have all their starters returning, which will only give them more confidence. I get why the Heat are slight favorites given the home-court advantage, but I like what I saw from the Bulls last night, and I think they can pull off the minor upset in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Chicago +3.5