Oct 26, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Charlotte Hornets guard LaMelo Ball (1) dribbles past Washington Wizards forward Corey Kispert (24) during the third quarter at Capital One Arena. Mandatory Credit: Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images
Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction 10/28/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

Charlotte (2-1) vs Miami (2-1)

October 28, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami -6.5 — Over/Under: +238.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Charlotte Hornets invade the Kaseya Center to do battle with the Miami Heat on Tuesday night. Here’s a Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Pick.

Charlotte Hornets Betting Preview

The Charlotte Hornets have gotten off to a decent start as they’ve won two of their first three games and they will be eager to stay hot after making light work of the Wizards in a 139-113 road win on Sunday. LaMelo Ball led the team with a triple-double of 38 points with 13 rebounds and 13 assists, Miles Bridges contributed 22 points with four rebounds and three assists, while Kon Knueppel and Collin Sexton each scored 20 points.

As a team, the Hornets shot 51 percent from the field and 15 of 38 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get going and trailed by 11 points at halftime. But they did all their damage in the second half where they poured in 88 points while shooting 67 percent from the field and 12 of 16 from the 3-point line. 

Miami Heat Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat will be gunning for a third straight victory after taking down the Knicks in a 115-107 home win on Sunday night. Norman Powell led the team in scoring with 29 points, seven rebounds, and three assists. Bam Adebayo added 19 points with 13 rebounds and three assists, Jaime Jacquez Jr contributed 17 points with five assists, while Simone Fontecchio chipped in with 14 points in just 19 minutes of action.

As a team, the Heat shot 45 percent from the field and 13 of 37 from the 3-point line as they went on a pivotal 23-6 run in the third quarter to build an 18-point lead. This proved to be just enough to hold off a late charge from the Knicks who cut the lead to just five points with 1:32 left on the clock.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won each of their last 16 games at Kaseya Center against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Hornets have lost 18 of their last 19 road games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against Southeast Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Hornets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Heat at Kaseya Center teams that held a winning record.
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Why the Charlotte Hornets will win

  • The Heat have lost four of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Hornets have won six of their last 10 games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
  • The Hornets have covered the spread in each of their last five games against the Heat after winning as underdogs.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at Kaseya Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Heat’s last six games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Hornets’ last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Hornets don’t have a single player listed on the injury report, while the Heat have ruled out Kasparas Jakucionis and Tyler Herro with Simone Fontecchio listed as questionable. The Heat defeated the Hornets in three of four meetings last season, but the Heat are shorthanded, while the Hornets have already shown improvement with their new pieces. So, I get a feeling we are going to see a more competitive series this time round.

I get why the Heat are favorites at home following their solid wins over the Knicks, but I think we’re getting just enough points at this line. So, I am going with the Hornets to keep this one close right till the end.

Peter Tran's Pick: Charlotte +6.5

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