Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction 11/4/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Cavaliers vs. Thunder Prediction

You can make a case for the Cavs and the free bucket as OKC remains banged up. The Thunder are still down Williams, Holmgren, and Caruso. However, we just saw the Thunder beat the Cavs two days ago on the road as a 4.5-point underdog. The Cavs also haven’t made anybody money dating back to last season, and that includes a 2-5 ATS record this season. With this game now in OKC,

I have to lean toward the Thunder and the small chalk. The Cavaliers don’t cash tickets, and until they do, I can’t get behind them. It’s OKC or pass for me on Wednesday night.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Bucks, lost to the Thunder, and they play the 76ers next. The Cavs have won 15 of their last 21 regular-season games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 119.7 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.1 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 21.8 points and 5.4 assists, while Evan Mobley is averaging 19.1 points and 3.6 assists. James Harden is the third double-digit scorer, and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 8.7 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game.

Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder lost to the Rockets, beat the Cavs, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Thunder have won 24 of their last 29 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 108 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 104.6 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28.4 points and 4 assists, while Ajay Mitchell is averaging 17 points and 3.6 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Jared McCain is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 32 percent from beyond the arc and 87.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 18 Wednesday games at Paycom Center.
• The Cavaliers have lost four of their last five road games.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Cavaliers.
• The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

• The Cavaliers have won nine of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Thunder have lost five of their last 10 games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
• The Cavaliers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Five of the last six games between the Cavaliers and Thunder have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Cavaliers’ last six games against the Thunder following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Isaiah Hartenstein ranks 3rd amongst qualified Centers for FT% (92.3%) this season.
• Kenrich Williams ranks T21st amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.4%) this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

• Evan Mobley ranks T8th amongst qualified players for 3P% (53.3%) this season.
• Meleek Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified rookies for 3P% (47.6%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (15.9).
• The Thunder rank 2nd in the league for opponent steals per game this season (6.6).
• The Cavaliers rank 2nd in the league for assists per game this season (29.0).
• The Cavaliers rank 3rd in the league for opponent steals per game this season (7.0).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Oklahoma City -2.5