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Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 2/3/2026 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 31-18 | 19-30 |
| Spread | -7.5 -110 | +7.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -278 | +225 |
| Total | Over 222.5 (-110) | Under 222.5 (-110) |
| Where | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX | |
| When | Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | NBC | |
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Kings and Bucks, and they play the Rockets next. The Celtics have won 23 of their last 33 games.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 116.4 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 29.4 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Derrick White is averaging 17.4 points and 4.6 rebounds. Payton Pritchard is the third double-digit scorer and Anfernee Simons is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Hornets and Rockets, and they play the Spurs next. The Mavs have lost 4 straight games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.3 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.4 points and 2.8 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.5 points and 6.5 rebounds. Naji Marshall is the third double-digit scorer, and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 3.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their last two games as underdogs against the Celtics following a loss.
- The Celtics have lost two of their last three games as favorites following a win.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as road favorites on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won each of their last 12 night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have lost 11 of their last 13 games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last five night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 13 night games against Celtics teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Celtics’ last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last four night games between the Celtics and Mavericks at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Max Christie ranks 4th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.2%) this season.
- Naji Marshall is one of only 15 players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
Boston Celtics Player Facts
- Jaylen Brown ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for points per game (29.4) this season.
- Neemias Queta ranks 2nd in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (63.5%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks have used 26 different starting fives this season – most in the league.
- Nine different Mavericks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
- The Celtics rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (14.8).
- The Celtics rank 30th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (18.8).
Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
The Mavericks will be without Dante Exum, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, P.J. Washington, and Anthony Davis. Brandon Williams is questionable.
The Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum.
Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The Celtics are capable of a blowout victory, and they’re a profitable 27-21-1 ATS on the season. This still feels like too many points. While the Mavs aren’t winning and are banged up, they’ve covered 7 of their last 10 games. Since November 19, the Mavericks are 11-4 ATS when underdogs of 5 or more points. The Mavs are a lot more competitive than their record indicates. The Mavs have seen 14 of their 19 wins come at home as well. I’ll take a stab with the points.
