Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets Prediction 3/20/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets play host to the Atlanta Hawks at the Toyota Center on Friday night. Here’s an Atlanta Hawks vs. Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Hawks vs. Houston Rockets Pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview 

The Atlanta Hawks have been on fire, as they’ve won 12 of their last 13 games overall and they will be eager to build on their current 11-game win streak after blowing past the depleted Mavericks in a 135-120 road win on Wednesday. CJ McCollum led the team with 24 points and seven assists on nine of 14 shooting, Nickeil Alexander-Walker added 22 points, and Jalen Johnson tallied 17 points with 11 rebounds and nine assists.

As a team, the Hawks shot 54 percent from the field and 14 of 35 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 37 points in the first quarter to take an 11-point lead into halftime, which only grew in the third quarter, where they led by as many as 21 points. 

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have been in a rut, as they’ve lost five of their last eight games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Lakers in a 124-116 loss on Wednesday. Alperen Sengun led the team with 27 points and 10 assists on 10 of 15 shooting, Amen Thompson added 26 points with 11 rebounds and four assists on 11 of 19 shooting, and Kevin Durant and Jabari Smith Jr. each scored 18 points.

As a team, the Rockets shot 49 percent from the field and 11 of 32 from the 3-point line as they dominated the third quarter by 37-23 to overcome an early 13-point deficit, but their hard work went to waste in the fourth quarter, where they just couldn’t stop Luka Doncic or LeBron James down the stretch, losing to the Lakers for the second time in three nights. 

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won 11 of their last 12 home games after losing as favorites.
• The Hawks have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in five of their last six games on the first leg of a back-to-back after losing as favorites.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Hawks have won each of their last 10 games following a win.
• The Rockets have lost eight of their last nine night games against Hawks teams that held a winning record.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rockets’ last seven Friday night games has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Hawks’ last four night games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets Prediction

The Hawks have ruled out Jonathan Kuminga once again, while the Rockets have ruled out Jae’Sean Tate and Steven Adams. These two teams have already met once this season, with the Rockets winning by 104-86 back on Jan 29 but a lot has happened since that meeting.

The Hawks are currently one of the hottest teams in the league right now; they are almost fully healthy and fresh off an easy win over the Mavericks, while the Rockets have been stumbling lately and just got beaten by the Lakers twice in a row. I get why the Rockets are slight favorites at home, but the Hawks have been on a tear and I think their impressive run continues with a minor upset in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Atlanta +3.5