Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 3/5/25 NBA Picks

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Hawks and Mavs, and they play the Magic, Cavs, and Pacers next. The Bucks have won seven of their last eight games and are currently in the fourth seed in the East. The Bucks come home where they’re 20-9 SU on the year.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 114.6 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 112.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.9 points and 12.1 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 25.4 points and 4.7 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 8.1 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 12 night games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Bucks have won each of their last six night games against the Mavericks.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites following a win.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last three games as underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Bucks have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 road games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report 

The Milwaukee Bucks will be without Pat Connaughton due to a calf injury.

The Mavs will be without Dereck Lively II, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Jaden Hardy, Dante Exum, and PJ Washington. Caleb Martin is doubtful with a hip injury. 

Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

There’s only so much a team can overcome and it feels like the Mavs have hit their breaking point with the Kyrie news. The Mavericks injury report has looked like a morgue these last few weeks and it just got worse. There are also now reports that Davis will consider shutting it down for the season as well. Not only are bodies limited, but it has to take a mental toll as well. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Mavs roll over in this spot on the road. Heck, the Bucks beat the Mavs by 15 points on the road a couple of days ago. Even on the end of a back-to-back, the Bucks are 20-9 SU at home and every game is important the rest of the way as they fight for home-court advantage in the first round. It’s just hard to find much positive in the Mavericks right now.